I think we're seeing AI server MLCC demand cause an interesting effect... with tightening capacity for consumer/general-purpose MLCCs.
If you get Vietnam flashbacks like I do to $MU / Samsung / SK Hynix -> Legacy DRAM:
My thesis is we'll see the same thing here maybe late H2, early 2027 with consumer/broad MLCCs.
From July 6th:
"the crowding-out effect from AI-oriented high-end MLCC production has begun spilling over into both the automotive and consumer markets."
July 28th:
"AI Demand Pushes Japanese and Korean MLCC Suppliers to Record Monthly Shipments; Consumer-Grade Order Spillovers Continue to Surge"
Aug 12:
As [MLCC] capacity shifts from consumer grades to AI-oriented products... (Trendforce)
Aug 12:
China's electronics market channel checks found 22µF and 47µF MLCCs (used more broadly) out of stock. Then found and said certain manufacturers had stopped taking orders.
(for reference: Walsin said high-volume smartphone/PC products such as... 22µF, so it's broader MLCCs)
Obviously Samsung Electro-Mechanics/Murata are main beneficiaries of AI server MLCC ramp.
But companies with large market share of overall MLCCs like Taiyo Yuden (6976, disclosure: I have positions) with less AI server share, would be a major beneficiary of this.
Fun part is, we're only in H2 2026, so the next major bottleneck should be fun!