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AskLivermore
@asklivermore
Singapore's #1# trader now on X. Timing cycles and stock rotation theory. Subscribe to my trades:
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Save this. This will make you a multi-millionaire. Everything you need to know. Before you buy, when to sell, and when NOT to sell. 1. Before you buy, ask 4 questions: • do you understand the business? • does it have a moat? • is management honest? • is the price reasonable? If any answer is no, move on. There are thousands of other stocks. ------- 2. When your stock drops 10% after earnings, ask 1 question: • did the business change, or did the price change? If the business did NOT change, buy more. The market just handed you a discount. That is what Buffett did with American Express, Bank of America, and Apple. Every single time. If the business DID change, re-evaluate. That is why he sold IBM and airlines during COIVD. ----- 3. When to sell: • the moat is gone • management is dishonest • you found something better Those are the only 3 reasons. ----- 4. When NOT to sell: • because the price dropped • because your timeline is full of fear • because someone on X said "it's over." Those are never reasons to sell. Never. ----- 5. What he never does: • panic sell • time the market • chase momentum • overtrade He held through 2008 (-32%), 2020 (-25%), and 2022 (-5%). He avoided Dot-Com momentum, crypto, meme stocks, and SPACs. Fewer than 20 decisions over 60 years made most of his wealth. The edge is not intelligence. It is patience.
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This is all you need to do to make millions in the stock market. Save this. Screenshot it. You will need it. 1. VIX above 35: buy aggressively - High-beta tech, growth, small caps - Every single time the VIX spiked above 35 since 2018 was a generational buying opportunity. COVID bottom. Oct 2022 bottom. Tariff crash. If you bought when everyone else was panicking, you made a fortune. 2. VIX 25 to 35: start scaling in - Quality tech, financials, industrials, cyclicals - This is where smart money starts building positions. Not all at once. Gradually. The fear is real but the opportunity is bigger. 3. VIX 15 to 25: hold - Balanced: tech + defensives, dividend growers - This is normal. Stay positioned. Don't chase, don't panic. Let your winners run. 4. VIX below 15: reduce exposure - Rotate to: utilities, healthcare, staples, bonds - This is when everyone is comfortable. Nobody is hedging. Nobody is worried. That's exactly when you should be. - Every major crash in market history was preceded by the VIX sitting below 15 for weeks. Right now the VIX is at 16. We're in the hold zone. Stay positioned but stay alert. Bookmark this. The next time the VIX spikes above 35, don't freeze. Buy.
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Health Care has a 100% win rate in the back half of midterm election years. Not 80%. Not 90%. ONE HUNDRED PERCENT. I looked at every midterm year since 2006. Here's how each sector performed from July to December: 1. Health Care $XLV: +8.46% avg, 100% win rate 2. Industrials $XLI: +7.18%, 80% 3. Materials $XLB: +6.71%, 60% 4. Financials $XLF: +6.68%, 80% 5. Cons. Discretionary $XLY: +6.35%, 60% 6. Cons. Staples $XLP: +6.29%, 80% 7. Utilities $XLU: +6.18%, 80% 8. Technology $XLK: +6.08%, 60% 9. Energy $XLE: +3.26%, 60% 10. Real Estate $XLRE: -7.94%, 0% The S&P 500 $SPY averaged: +5.95%. Three things nobody is talking about: 1. Health Care outperforms EVERY sector in midterm H2. Not tech. Not discretionary. Health Care. Five for five. 2. Tech drops to #8#. The darling of every other year becomes middle of the pack when midterm volatility kicks in (60% win rate). 3. Real Estate has NEVER been positive Jul-Dec in a midterm year. 0 for 2. Negative every single time. 2026 is a midterm year. The rotation is underway. It always does.
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$MU, $SNDK, and $DRAM (memory ETF). Memory is crucial. Without memory, AI can NOT scale and function. We are STILL so early. We STILL have Agentic AI (right now) -> PHYSICAL AI (year 2027 robots) -> GENERAL AI (year 2028) -> SUPER-INTELLIGENCE (year 2030+ and beyond). A lot of you have asked WHEN and WHERE to buy memory stocks. 1. Probing position -> this is a starter position. This is to test the waters and reduce FOMO. At this level, markets are neutral. Relief rally territory that can turn into all-time highs or fail and head lower. So you buy small and see, and be flexible. 2. Build position -> this is where it makes sense to build a nice chunk. It's at great levels to be happier psychologically. This is when you're okay with whatever fate happens. Fair price. 3. Buy big -> this is where you can buy big time. CONVICTION. In whatever case, RED is temporary. Let's make millions together.
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When $VIX is low, you start selling. When $VIX is high, you start buying. Be careful.
$BEAM and $CRSP Next-gen gene editing companies Beam Therapeutics and CRISPR are both setting up quietly. Volume confirms accumulation. Watch the rotation into biotechnology later this year. Still early and choppy for now.
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