Trying something new in tradfi world, here is my current trade for August-Dec. I believe the market is currently moving into a new rotation: AI bottleneck -> Commodities, here are some ideas as to why. Thesis 1: FED uncertainty after FOMC is pushing DXY down, 30y yields go up = bond holders selling, the fight against Inflation is unclear pushing Bond holders to different asset such as Gold or shorter term yields. Also we have crowded positioning in DXY Thesis 2: Positioning - TA showing RSI-div on a daily and low volatility for GOLD, meanwhile GOLD ETF inflow is showing a huge sign of bottoming. Gold options also bottoming. Thesis 3: Demand is greater than Supply as we see China + Asia continues to lead the buying effort, meanwhile Turkey+Russia is the net seller. Thesis 4: News pivot events - Warsh nomination was the top for GOLD - Bessent intervention w/ Yen looking like bottom signal Anti-Thesis? The only thing is that it remains below 200D MA and a clear uptrend has not started. $GLD and $GDX are likely the trade here for spot holding. Betas such as $SLV $COPPER are also good.