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Deedy
@deedydas
Partner at @MenloVentures. Investor: Anthropic, OpenRouter, Modal, Wispr, Pangram, Inception, Goodfire, PrimeIntellect prior: Glean, Google Search. Cornell CS.
Joined August 2011
6.3K Following    255.5K Followers
I’ve heard 100s of startup pitches this year. Here’s the good, the bad and the meh recurring trends from my experience: The good: - High raise amounts and valuations. More inflated for strong teams pre-revenue in hot areas (robotics, bio, personal agents) - Insane topline growth numbers, many growing >10x this year. By the time a round closes, a high valuation seems justified. - Tons of M&A It is what it is: - Revenue run rate = last month revenue x 12 - Small teams - Seat based < Platform fee < Usage based billing seems to be the trend for most products - Tranched rounds - Best teams have extremely fast product iteration speed - SaaS products positioning themselves as AI tools to seem appealing to investors The bad: - Low or negative gross margin if reselling tokens. Non-standard accounting - High “Contracted ARR” that’s not live yet - High revenue concentration - Expensive compute, limited availability, delays. Excess compute reselling - Many wrappers with very thin tech differentiation: “self improving harness”, “multi model / router”, “agent swarms”, “computer use” - Overworked employees. AI generated - All spaces seem very competitive - Areas can seem hot one moment before being not
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