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Kantian
@kantianum
studying digital assets
Joined November 2023
1.8K Following    5.2K Followers
Arthur Hayes says $NEAR could eventually become deflationary thanks to NEAR Intents and the Zcash integration. ➝ This could work, but only if NEAR burns 100% of the NEAR collected as revenue. NEAR has two revenue streams with different supply impacts: 1) Protocol-level fees (gas fees) 2) Product revenue from NEAR Intents (and other products like NEAR AI) "Protocol fees" have a direct burn mechanism: ➝ 70% of base fees are burned "Product revenue" works differently. Product revenue can fund buybacks, staking, locking, or other supply-impact strats, but this depends on governance. It is not an automatic 100% burn. Current situation: ➝ Annual inflation is now 2.5% ➝ Daily revenue currently = 14% of daily emissions ➝ Since January 1, 2026, NEAR captured around 1.6M NEAR in revenue ➝ Over the same period, cumulative emissions reached around 11.4M NEAR ➝ Only around 186K NEAR came from protocol-level fees. 70% of that equals 130,005.68 NEAR burned (approx. 1% of total emissions). TLDR: a) If NEAR burned 100% of all revenue like Hyperliquid, usage would need to grow by roughly 7x from here to reach neutral emissions. Very doable, especially if Zcash becomes more popular - Near intents has been integrated by many partners, so the number could go up fast once onchain activity heats up. b) If NEAR keeps burning only 70% of protocol-level fees, usage would need to grow by roughly 100x to reach neutrality. (hard) The deflationary scenario has a path, but it’s a hard one right now. Source for dashboard: revenue.near(.)org
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Arthur on why the Zcash and NEAR integration is the quietly building mechanism that flips NEAR from inflationary to deflationary "Shielded Zcash lets you swap and send any coin, USDT on Tron, Bitcoin, anything, and that transaction will not point back to you. Completely anonymous" "The integration between shielded Zcash and NEAR intents means every time one of these transactions happens the NEAR protocol earns a fee" "If volumes grow that fee accumulates over time and flips NEAR from an inflationary to a deflationary protocol. That is what will cause the price to rocket higher"
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