Kyle Chan(@kyleichan):How much does AI distillation matter? “I estimate that if distillation was fully prevented, e.g. with know-your-customer (KYC) tools at Anthropic and OpenAI, the gap from the strongest American models to Chinese open-weight models would only increase by 1-2 months.”

2026.09.22 11:33

How much does AI distillation matter? “I estimate that if distillation was fully prevented, e.g. with know-your-customer (KYC) tools at Anthropic and OpenAI, the gap from the strongest American models to Chinese open-weight models would only increase by 1-2 months.”

Nathan Lambert@natolambert

2026.09.21 12:04

I was asked by Congressional staff to share my views on open models performance, adoption, and competition vis a vis China. Here’s my briefing with all our latest data and predictions for what comes next. I am very happy to spend time on broader audience content on open models!