Metaculus
@metaculus
Forecasts on critical topics.
Labor Automation Forecasting Hub:
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Last month GPT-6 Astra (@chatgpt) beat Montezuma's Revenge, and a lot of people declared that our "weakly general AI" question, originally launched in 2020, resolved.
But…it still hasn’t resolved.
We wanted to give everyone a quick update on where things actually stand and the steps we’re currently taking (cc @swishfever @joeykrug @emollick). 🧵
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