Interesting thought experiment, if
@chameleon_jeff tweeted that $HYPE buybacks were being changed from 99% to 95%, and that 4% of revenue was going to TikTok ads and marketing campaigns (once legal in the US) to onboard more users, would you perceive that as bullish or bearish for $HYPE price?
This is actually something I've changed my opinion on over time. I used to think higher % buybacks were strictly better or more "aligned", but it's more nuanced.
99%+ token buybacks probably just isn't realistic for most projects, nor is it ideal. $HYPE permanently raised the bar for what good tokenomics look like, but I don't think teams/tokens should be demonized for not living up to that pretty unattainable standard (and one that even
@HyperliquidX may eventually constructively revisit).
"Value accrual" back to token should be seen more holistically than just buybacks/burns.
Hiring top tier talent is value accrual. Top tier talents needs to eat and get paid at least in some real dollars.
OpEx and better infra is value accrual. Can't pay AWS bills in tokens (yet 👀)
In $DRV's case, onboarding better market makers for better liquidity, and hopefully more trading volume, and more fees is value accrual.
I think $DRV absolutely made the right decision to increase token buybacks from 25% to 35% as they grew, and it communicates to the market the continued intent to do so, but it wouldn't necessarily be bullish $DRV for them to go higher for now if that money is better put towards growth.
Huge believer that balance sheets and accounting should be made visible and verifiable on chain so that tokenholders can see how revenue is being spent and to make sure it's being accretive to tokenholders.
Token buyback %'s shouldn't be judged on total top line revenue, but post OpEx.
There's a very fine balancing act between prioritizing future growth and current token price, as well as communicating to the market how value accrues to the token.
At the end of the day we can all want totally programmatic 99%+ token buybacks, and it's been hugely successful for $HYPE and $LIT, but you're still trusting founders to maximize future token value with current revenue at the margins. Sometimes investing in future growth is better than buying back your token, and vice versa.