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Mike Knoop
@mikeknoop
co-founder @ndea and @zapier @arcprize
Joined July 2009
368 Following    25K Followers
We are not done. I now see a path to useful and interesting ARC-AGI-4 focussed on open ended invention. This is the gating capability between powerful zero-sum automation machines and autonomous positive-sum innovators which benefit humanity. I believe 'coordinated slow downs' installs the precepts needed to limit or ban open source progress and AI capability research. Concretely, I believe coordinated slow down efforts will be argued to apply to everyone equally, globally, even if you aren't a frontier lab today. In fact, forms of this argument being made today. We primarily think of AI research being advanced by individual frontier labs. But consider the core invention of "chain of thought" which preceded q*, strawberry, o1, o3, reasoning models, and powerful coding agents all stemmed from one open source science paper. The same story is true for the transformer which was only possible downstream of at least three other organizations open science contributions. We must keep the research frontier open to increase the likelihood humanity reaches this positive sum future where amazing inventions created by AI can benefit us -- within in our lifetime! -- and not get technology trapped in a local maximum.
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ARC-AGI-4 will be a benchmark for autonomous open-ended innovation. It will continue our commitment to open-source, giving the research community a shared target for progress that benefits all of humanity. Despite rapid model progress, humans still significantly outperform AI at open-ended invention. This is the meta-skill that unlocks progress across every field of technology. Advanced AI capable of scientific innovation will lead to tremendous new technology, knowledge, and understanding. This is a positive-sum future. We are deeply committed to advancing it. Open source is the foundation for that progress. The knowledge behind frontier AI, not just the technology itself, should be broadly distributed among researchers, academics, and organizations. Any coordinated effort by the AI industry to reduce openness or concentrate access to frontier AI would undermine that positive-sum future. We are committed to advancing a future where everyone can contribute to and benefit from AI progress.
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