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Imran Lakha | Options Insight
@options_insight
Veteran options trader I built a process to earn extra income via options Free masterclass 👉
Joined September 2018
990 Following    29.9K Followers
Something uncomfortable about selling volatility that I keep coming back to. The track record is most impressive at exactly the moment the strategy is most dangerous. Think about how the numbers accumulate. You harvest the premium day after day and the equity curve goes up in a smooth line. The longer the calm lasts, the better the record looks, the more confident the operator gets, and the larger the position tends to become. Every incremental day of quiet makes the strategy look more proven and makes the eventual reckoning bigger. So the statistic people usually reach for, how long it has worked, is close to useless as a safety measure. A short vol book that has performed beautifully for three years has not demonstrated that it is safe. It has demonstrated that it has not yet met the event it is short. That is not an argument against selling vol. The premium is real and it is one of the more persistent things in markets. It is an argument about how you sell it. Defined risk, wings to protect you, a structure where the worst day is a number you have already looked at and accepted. The question I would want answered before running anyone's premium strategy is not what it has returned. It is what happens on the day it is wrong, and whether that number has ever actually been tested. Smooth is not the same as safe.
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