Andrej Karpathy: "90% of what AI twitter tells you to learn will be dead in 6 months"
Here are 10 things senior AI engineers stopped wasting time on:
1. AutoGen / AG2: moved to community maintenance, releases stalled. dead for production
2. CrewAI: demos well, breaks in production. engineers building real systems already moved off it
3. Autonomous agent pitches: the AutoGPT / BabyAGI wave is dead in product form. the industry settled on supervised, bounded, evaluated agents
4. Agent app stores / marketplaces: promised since 2023, zero enterprise traction
5. SWE-bench leaderboard chasing: researchers proved nearly every public benchmark can be gamed without solving the underlying task
6. Microsoft Semantic Kernel: unless you're locked into Microsoft enterprise stack, it's not where the ecosystem is heading
7. DSPy: philosophical merit, niche audience. not a general agent framework
8. Horizontal "build any agent" platforms: Google Agentspace, AWS Bedrock Agents, Copilot Studio. confusing, slow-shipping, the math still favors building yourself
9. Per-seat SaaS pricing for agent products: market moved to outcome-based. per-seat is already dead
10. The framework that went viral on HN this week: wait 6 months. if it still matters, it'll be obvious
what actually compounds instead:
- context engineering
- tool design
- orchestrator-subagent pattern
- eval discipline
- the harness mindset (harness > model, always)
- MCP as the protocol layer
be few steps ahead than your competitors and outperform this market till it became mass-opinion
study this.