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timemoon🕯
@timemoonc
🕯Lighter OG
Joined May 2018
5K Following    1.4K Followers
算是 @base 的认错贴了。 说了4个事情。 1. 承认社交优先的路线是错误的。 2.base 链和 app 拆开发展。 @baseapp 归 cb ,链不限于base。 3.重点做金融,其次加入社交。 4.竞争对象从arb/OP传统L2,转向robinhood/Tempe等。 虽然有一些公关的成分,但是主体来说能这样反省也很不错了(相对于现在还在摆烂或者软跑路的项目)。 base 最大的问题还是愿景和定位的矛盾。作为公链的最核心的定位应该是中立独立,base 和 coinbase 的关系,就注定无法解决这个矛盾。这次的调整,我觉得主要还是解决这个问题。 在应用端,base 犯了大企业的病。一味的寻求布局/战略的前沿性,在应用落地的末端做的很差。很多事情,都是虎头蛇尾。 以 @farcaster_xyz 为例, 既然是以内容为侧重点,但是内容原创和商业变现上明显没有任何打磨,只是拉起了一个“内容创造价值”的旗子,但是路线怎么走,完全丢给了应用。应用反过来用完了base 的有限资源后,没有水源后,他们也只能等死。 在web3行业本身,优秀的产品都是直接面向用户,而非依靠大树获得竞争力,只有靠产品打出来,让市场去吸引用户,这样才会有源源不断的生命力。(传统的渠道优势并不非常重要,btc 没有营销费用的投入) 当然,现在的转型是积极的,至少开始尝试转型去新的机会了。 回到空投的视角,目前来说,TGE 可能更加确定了。base 要走出 coinbase,甚至走出base 链自身,去谋求更大的空间,空投的独立性也会更大。 但是,空投是社区对于项目的信任。 一旦启用的空投营销,就注定信用会烟消云散。
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lots of conversations about base over the last week. wanted to share my candid take after a week of listening and a lot of reflection over the last 6 months. first off - in case it’s not obvious, the first quarter of 2026 was a punch in the face. I spent 2024 and 2025 making a two pronged bet to bring base to the world: (1) builders would unlock the next wave of crypto adoption; (2) adoption would be driven by new onchain-native social experiences - creators, content, messaging. imo we made the right bet on builders, but obviously the wrong bet on social. builders did drive the next wave of crypto adoption - prediction markets, perpetuals, stablecoins - but social was not at the center of it. in fact, the entire social side of the market that many of us had been building towards - farcaster, zora, miniapps, and yes, creator coins - disintegrated completely. I was wrong - whether it was timing wrong (is $ansem a creator coin?) or fully wrong, only time will tell, but regardless, i was definitively wrong. the collateral damage was pretty bad! and this year has been an exercise in eating shit. we realized how our focus on social had meant that base had fallen behind in key areas that were now increasingly critical - we had perps (shoutout avantis!) and prediction markets (shoutout limitless!), but both were well behind scaled competitors. and we had a lot of room to improve in unlocking base as a platform for tokenization and payments that really worked for enterprises. people lost confidence, and CT spectators reminded me weekly of all of my mistakes as often as they could. it felt bad man, still feels bad. but if there’s one thing i’ve learned from the last decade of building in this space, it’s that when things feel the worst, the best thing to do is just put your head down and build. so that’s what i’m doing. I refocused my time and attention back to the chain away from the app, started writing code again, shipped a bunch of stuff (azul, beryl, b20, privacy, ledgers) and questioned a bunch of my assumptions: does crypto need social to grow? does base need an app? can base be bigger than coinbase? I thought for a long time that social was the only thing that could drive the sort of viral growth to get crypto to a billion people. unsurprisingly, I now believe that’s wrong. It’s clear that better money is more than enough - we are seeing this live with stablecoins, predictions, perpetuals, tokenization and i only expect it to accelerate. I am now focused on bringing a billion people onchain just by making global finance actually work. on the app, my focus is on building base into the blockchain for global finance. to that end, i’ve handed the base app back to the coinbase mothership, where my now good friend @cobie will be taking it from here to make it the best damn app for onchain you’ve ever seen, including expanding beyond the base ecosystem in ways that tbh i won’t love as the leader of base. it’s incredibly hard to grow a decentralized network inside of a big public corporation. and i feel like much of the discourse on CT over the last week is downstream of this. the following things can be true: (1) base (and i) love memes and (2) brian probably won’t ever bullpost memes on the tl (this activity is illegal once you’re over 40 years of age). it’s weird and we’re working through it as we continue to decentralize base, which has been our commitment from the beginning. we’re going to build base into the blockchain for global finance and do everything we can to be the place that the world’s money settles over the next century. we will surely have formidable competitors (welcome robinhood and stripe!) and people may abandon our cause, but we welcome the competition and believe it’s our duty to win the respect and commitment of those who rally to our banner.  in 2026, this concretely means three things: winning trading, payments, and agents. [continued in the reply]
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