Much of this analysis can also apply to Leo Carlsson. The Philly offer sheet certainly came with sticker shock, but depending on how you project Carlsson's growth trajectory, he very well may grow into his contract. Carlsson at 21 didn't have as strong of a season as Celebrini at 19. But he certainly belongs in the top 10 1C category already. If I were a Ducks fan, I'd be more comfortable if his compensation fell more in the middle of the pack of the top 10 1Cs. But we can't always get what we want when offer sheets are invovled. Also, Carlsson's contract starts 1 year sooner than Celebrini, so that pushes things a little bit. My take: Carlsson wont' live up to 100% of his contract value, but the mismatch isn't as extreme as much of the media presents.