$TSM | TSMC Q2โ26 Detailed Earnings Highlights
๐น Revenue: $40.2B; +33.7% YoY
๐น Net Profit: $22.36B (Est. $19.74B) ๐ข; +77.4% YoY
๐น Gross Margin: 67.7% (Est. 67.1%) ๐ข
๐ธ CapEx raised to $60B-$64B from $52B-$56B.
Q3โ26 Guide:
๐น Rev: $44.6B-$45.8B (Est. $43.11B) ๐ข; +37% YoY
๐น Gross Margin: 65%-67% (Est. 65.9%) ๐ก
๐น Operating Margin: 56%-58% (Est. 57.7%) ๐ก
๐น FX assumption: US$1 = NT$32.0
๐ธ CapEx over the next 3 years will be โeven more significantly higherโ than during the prior 3 years.
Revenue by Platform:
๐น HPC: 66%; +20% QoQ
๐น Smartphone: 22%; -4% QoQ
๐น IoT: 5%; +4% QoQ
๐น Automotive: 4%; +15% QoQ
๐น DCE: 1%; +5% QoQ
๐น Others: 2%; +5% QoQ
Technology Mix (Wafer Revenue):
๐น 2nm: 3%
๐น 3nm: 30%
๐น 5nm: 33%
๐น 7nm: 11%
๐น 7nm and below: 77%
Other Metrics:
๐น EPS: $4.31 per ADR (Est. $3.83) ๐ข
๐น Operating Margin: 60.3% (Est. 58.6%) ๐ข
๐น Net Profit Margin: 55.6%
๐น Wafer Shipments: +16.6% YoY; +3.9% QoQ
๐น North America: 78% of revenue
๐น ROE: 45.9%
๐น OpEx: 7.8% of revenue
๐น Inventory Days: 87; +7 days QoQ
๐น VIS Share Gain: $2.00B
2026 Outlook:
๐ธ N2 ramp expected to dilute gross margin by 3-4 pts in 2H26.
๐ธ Overseas fabs expected to dilute gross margin by 2-3 pts initially and 3-4 pts in later stages.
๐ธ Long-term revenue CAGR remains around 25%, while AI accelerator revenue CAGR remains in the high-50s%.
US Expansion:
๐ธ TSMC announced an additional $100B investment in Arizona. The additional commitment lifts TSMCโs total US investment plan to $265B.
๐ธ The eventual US footprint could reach 10 fabs and 2 advanced-packaging facilities.
๐ธ The four new facilities are expected to focus on 2nm logic, although the final mix could shift to three logic fabs and one packaging plant.
๐ธ Construction timing remains undisclosed and will depend on market conditions.