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周末行研---AI拉动的电力电子系统大基建里SiC、GaN 与硅MOSFET的份额浅析 AI数据中心疯狂建设推动的电网大升级,正在让另一个长期被低估的领域重新回到舞台中央:功率半导体。 电力系统核心在于高效地控制电流。而控制电流最核心的器件,就是MOSFET(Metal-Oxide-Semiconductor Field-Effect Transistor)金属-氧化物-半导体场效应晶体管。 过去几十年,全球功率器件几乎都建立在硅MOSFET之上。硅便宜、成熟、产业链完整,因此长期统治整个行业。但随着AI服务器功率暴涨、EV进入800V时代、数据中心向高压化演进、高频电源需求提升,传统硅开始逐渐碰到物理极限。于是,SiC(碳化硅)与GaN(氮化镓)开始崛起。 SiC更像重工业路线。它的核心优势,在于高压与大功率。SiC拥有更高击穿电压、更强导热能力,在高压、高电流场景下效率明显优于传统硅IGBT。因此EV主驱逆变器、光伏逆变器、储能、工业高压驱动、电网、高压UPS这些领域,正在快速SiC化。尤其特斯拉推动的800V平台,本质上是整个SiC产业爆发的重要转折点。过去几年,新能源车一直是SiC最大的驱动力。Wolfspeed、onsemi、STMicroelectronics、Infineon Technologies、ROHM、Mitsubishi Electric等公司,都在这一轮周期中受益。 但SiC并不完美。相比GaN,它通常开关速度更慢、Qg更高、高频性能较弱,高频下磁性器件难进一步缩小。于是GaN走向了另一条路线。GaN真正强的地方,是高频。GaN拥有更低Qg、更低输出电容,以及几乎没有reverse recovery的问题,因此特别适合高频DC-DC、AI服务器供电、GPU VRM、手机快充、高频PSU、小型化电源。 AI可能是GaN真正的大周期。因为AI数据中心正在推动整个供电架构向高频化、高电流化、小型化、高效率演进。尤其48V架构之后,大量高频DC-DC开始成为核心瓶颈,而这正是GaN的甜点区。 传统服务器机架可能只有5-10kW,现在AI机架已经开始进入50kW、100kW,未来甚至可能接近MW级别。 AI数据中心正在从IT设施,逐渐变成“电力设施”。而从电网到GPU,中间需要经历大量电力转换:高压输电、变压器、UPS、PSU、AC/DC、DC/DC、VRM、GPU近端供电。每一次转换都会损失能量。当单个AI园区开始消耗GW级电力时,1%的效率提升,都可能对应巨大的经济价值。于是,功率半导体开始从配角变成核心瓶颈。 GaN因此开始大量进入AI服务器PSU、高频DC/DC、GPU VRM、电源模块。很多系统甚至开始出现“SiC + GaN”混搭。高压主干用SiC,高频末端用GaN。数据中心里,电网到数据中心的大功率高压部分,更适合SiC。服务器机架内部的高频供电,则更适合GaN。 未来整个功率半导体可能形成三层结构。低压低成本:硅MOSFET。高频高效率:GaN。高压大功率:SiC。 650V附近,是GaN与SiC正面竞争的区域。低于650V,GaN优势明显。高于650V,SiC优势越来越强。而650V附近,两边都能做。 同时,因为全球大量关键系统,都工作在400V~800V DC母线附近。 650V器件通常对应400V AC整流后、380V HVDC、48V架构上游、数据中心PSU、工业电源、光伏、OBC、AI服务器电源。 这是现代工业和数据中心最核心的电压区间之一。 于是竞争开始从单纯器件参数,变成系统成本、EMI、驱动复杂度、散热、良率、可靠性、客户验证、使用寿命、热循环、ppm失效率,以及长期供货能力。 这也是为什么功率半导体行业护城河极深。尤其SiC。SiC真正难的,不只是器件设计,而是晶圆生长、外延、缺陷控制、良率、高温可靠性。这些能力需要长期工艺积累。因此行业真正强势的玩家,往往都是十年以上沉淀出来的公司。不同公司的强项也不同。Wolfspeed强在材料。STM强在EV。Infineon强在模块与系统能力。onsemi强在汽车客户。Rohm强在可靠性。 GaN世界则还没有完全进入成熟阶段。目前Texas Instruments、Navitas Semiconductor、Infineon Technologies、Efficient Power Conversion都在不同方向推进GaN。其中TI可能长期被市场低估。因为真正的大客户最在意的,往往不是PPT参数,而是reliability、qualification和长期供货能力,而这些恰恰是TI最强的地方。 总的来说,AI正在提高整个系统里的“功率半导体含量”。未来AI基础设施的竞争,可能不只是算力竞争,还会是电力竞争、配电竞争、散热竞争、电源效率竞争。 过去半导体行业的核心是计算。未来十年,功率控制本身,可能会成为新的核心瓶颈之一。 免责声明:本人持有文章中提及资产,观点充满偏见,非投资建议,dyor
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V神和以太坊基金会主动退出管理,退居二线,去中心化,不再当老大 这是什么情况…… 那这样说以太坊,即将被超越吗?
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@V_Agarwal_666 这个变化确实挺微妙的,很多人还觉得资金躺着不动呢。
V 神昨天晚上发了一个长篇大论 有巨鲸直接空了一亿刀 大概的意思就是,推动去中心化,让ETH基金会管的更少 接下来ETH 将在抗审查,隐私,安全,去中心化几个方面做到极致,不是盲目追求TPS 这文章有点摆烂的感觉,感觉是告诉币圈人 我暴富了,我也不想管了,别再盯着基金会了
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V神表示:以太坊基金会正在发生变化,随着该组织出售更少的 ETH 并缩小其使命范围,他对以太坊基金会董事会的影响力将持续缩小 他说,该基金会应作为更广泛的以太坊生态系统中的一个节点,而不是中央协调者
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V子天天草 b 还做个几把的世界计算机!!!草尼玛得! $eth
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V神最拿手的搭讪开场白:What 😂
V 神也上过福布斯 30 Under 30
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V神一直在卖,机构和巨鲸一直抄底,你说我该信谁?
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V神的意思 1、L2 帮以太坊扩容的单一叙事在失效, 2、对 L2 的新建议:别只卖便宜快,要卖差异化能力 我记得5年前,链上gas授权20+美金,swap一笔50美金~100美金的时候······ 那时候我就确信:L2 一定会成为趋势,必须 All in。 回头看,每一次范式转变,都会诞生历史级别的财富机会 感谢 Layer2 ,把高门槛的主网亏gas游戏拉回到普通屌丝也可参与的盛宴。 只是,这场游戏,总要有人买单!
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There have recently been some discussions on the ongoing role of L2s in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially in the face of two facts: * L2s' progress to stage 2 (and, secondarily, on interop) has been far slower and more difficult than originally expected * L1 itself is scaling, fees are very low, and gaslimits are projected to increase greatly in 2026 Both of these facts, for their own separate reasons, mean that the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path. First, let us recap the original vision. Ethereum needs to scale. The definition of "Ethereum scaling" is the existence of large quantities of block space that is backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum - that is, block space where, if you do things (including with ETH) inside that block space, your activities are guaranteed to be valid, uncensored, unreverted, untouched, as long as Ethereum itself functions. If you create a 10000 TPS EVM where its connection to L1 is mediated by a multisig bridge, then you are not scaling Ethereum. This vision no longer makes sense. L1 does not need L2s to be "branded shards", because L1 is itself scaling. And L2s are not able or willing to satisfy the properties that a true "branded shard" would require. I've even seen at least one explicitly saying that they may never want to go beyond stage 1, not just for technical reasons around ZK-EVM safety, but also because their customers' regulatory needs require them to have ultimate control. This may be doing the right thing for your customers. But it should be obvious that if you are doing this, then you are not "scaling Ethereum" in the sense meant by the rollup-centric roadmap. But that's fine! it's fine because Ethereum itself is now scaling directly on L1, with large planned increases to its gas limit this year and the years ahead. We should stop thinking about L2s as literally being "branded shards" of Ethereum, with the social status and responsibilities that this entails. Instead, we can think of L2s as being a full spectrum, which includes both chains backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum with various unique properties (eg. not just EVM), as well as a whole array of options at different levels of connection to Ethereum, that each person (or bot) is free to care about or not care about depending on their needs. What would I do today if I were an L2? * Identify a value add other than "scaling". Examples: (i) non-EVM specialized features/VMs around privacy, (ii) efficiency specialized around a particular application, (iii) truly extreme levels of scaling that even a greatly expanded L1 will not do, (iv) a totally different design for non-financial applications, eg. social, identity, AI, (v) ultra-low-latency and other sequencing properties, (vi) maybe built-in oracles or decentralized dispute resolution or other "non-computationally-verifiable" features * Be stage 1 at the minimum (otherwise you really are just a separate L1 with a bridge, and you should just call yourself that) if you're doing things with ETH or other ethereum-issued assets * Support maximum interoperability with Ethereum, though this will differ for each one (eg. what if you're not EVM, or even not financial?) From Ethereum's side, over the past few months I've become more convinced of the value of the native rollup precompile, particuarly once we have enshrined ZK-EVM proofs that we need anyway to scale L1. This is a precompile that verifies a ZK-EVM proof, and it's "part of Ethereum", so (i) it auto-upgrades along with Ethereum, and (ii) if the precompile has a bug, Ethereum will hard-fork to fix the bug. The native rollup precompile would make full, security-council-free, EVM verification accessible. We should spend much more time working out how to design it in such a way that if your L2 is "EVM plus other stuff", then the native rollup precompile would verify the EVM, and you only have to bring your own prover for the "other stuff" (eg. Stylus). This might involve a canonical way of exposing a lookup table between contract call inputs and outputs, and letting you provide your own values to the lookup table (that you would prove separately). This would make it easy to have safe, strong, trustless interoperability with Ethereum. It also enables synchronous composability (see: and ). And from there, it's each L2's choice exactly what they want to build. Don't just "extend L1", figure out something new to add. This of course means that some will add things that are trust-dependent, or backdoored, or otherwise insecure; this is unavoidable in a permissionless ecosystem where developers have freedom. Our job should make to make it clear to users what guarantees they have, and to build up the strongest Ethereum that we can.
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