$INTC moves to my #1# portfolio position. If you think I understand Intel better than the average person who follows the stock, you’re wrong. But I do think I understand the setup. There is an interesting psychological situation around $95. The recent offering was heavily oversubscribed at that level, which makes me think there should be serious demand if the stock gets back there. It doesn’t mean $95 can’t break, but I think it should provide some kind of floor. I also understand the near-term catalysts, so I built a strategy around the entire situation using stock and options. $INTC is now my largest position, via stock and mainly through options with various expiration dates and strikes to mitigate risk. I can make money if the stock stays around here, falls somewhat, or moves higher, as long as it doesn’t crash or spike 15% in one day. We’ve seen this many times with assets that go through a period of mania (silver, gold, memory stocks). They spike, cool down, and then slowly start climbing again. I believe $INTC could follow a similar path. I might be wrong, but that’s the setup I’m betting on. I might publish my full $INTC position later today or next week and explain every part of it and why I structured it this way.

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