World Currencies vs. the U.S. Dollar One-Year Change As of June 30, 2026: 🇨🇴 Colombian peso: +19.2% 🇮🇱 Israeli shekel: +13.2% 🇭🇺 Hungarian forint: +8.9% 🇿🇦 South African rand: +8.1% 🇲🇽 Mexican peso: +7.7% 🇨🇳 Chinese yuan: +5.6% 🇦🇺 Australian dollar: +5.2% 🇧🇷 Brazilian real: +5.2% 🇲🇾 Malaysian ringgit: +3.1% 🇳🇴 Norwegian krone: +1.8% 🇨🇱 Chilean peso: +1.0% 🇪🇬 Egyptian pound: +0.8% 🇭🇰 Hong Kong dollar: +0.1% 🇦🇪 UAE dirham: 0.0% 🇶🇦 Qatari riyal: 0.0% 🇸🇦 Saudi riyal: -0.2% 🇷🇺 Russian ruble: -0.4% 🇨🇿 Czech koruna: -1.1% 🇸🇬 Singapore dollar: -1.7% 🇨🇭 Swiss franc: -1.8% 🇹🇭 Thai baht: -2.3% 🇸🇪 Swedish krona: -2.4% 🇪🇺 Euro: -3.0% 🇩🇰 Danish krone: -3.1% 🇬🇧 Pound sterling: -3.4% 🇨🇦 Canadian dollar: -4.1% 🇵🇱 Polish złoty: -4.2% 🇳🇿 New Zealand dollar: -6.8% 🇹🇼 Taiwan dollar: -8.2% 🇵🇭 Philippine peso: -8.2% 🇮🇩 Indonesian rupiah: -9.3% 🇮🇳 Indian rupee: -9.4% 🇯🇵 Japanese yen: -11.3% 🇰🇷 South Korean won: -12.6% 🇹🇷 Turkish lira: -14.6% 🇦🇷 Argentine peso: -18.9% Source: Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg Finance LP.

WE HAVE NOW OFFICIALLY COMPLETED 7 OUT OF THE 12 MONTHS IN 2026 This is how every stock in the NASDAQ 100 has performed so far in 2026 Sandisk $SNDK +411.8%🟢 Western Digital $WDC +216.3%🟢 Seagate $STX +210.9%🟢 Micron $MU +188.4%🟢 Intel $INTC +144.4%🟢 Nebius $NBIS +127.5%🟢 AMD $AMD +122.3%🟢 Marvell $MRVL +120.7%🟢 Arm Holdings $ARM +119.3%🟢 Fortinet $FTNT +103.9%🟢 Applied Materials $AMAT +97.5%🟢 Datadog $DDOG +97.1%🟢 Lumentum $LITE +93.7%🟢 Teradyne $TER +90.0%🟢 Astera Labs $ALAB +87.1%🟢 Palo Alto $PANW +80.2%🟢 Lam Research $LRCX +71.2%🟢 CrowdStrike $CRWD +62.9%🟢 Texas Instruments $TXN +58.9%🟢 Monolithic Power $MPWR +57.3%🟢 ASML $ASML +52.3%🟢 Cisco $CSCO +50.6%🟢 KLA Corp $KLAC +50.5%🟢 Ross Stores $ROST +39.4%🟢 CSX $CSX +39.0%🟢 Analog Devices $ADI +35.5%🟢 Old Dominion $ODFL +35.3%🟢 Diamondback Energy $FANG +35.0%🟢 Baker Hughes $BKR +32.8%🟢 DexCom $DXCM +25.7%🟢 Monster Beverage $MNST +25.7%🟢 Starbucks $SBUX +25.0%🟢 PACCAR $PCAR +21.2%🟢 Coca-Cola Europacific $CCEP +20.7%🟢 Marriott $MAR +20.2%🟢 Fastenal $FAST +18.9%🟢 Honeywell $HON +18.9%🟢 Amgen $AMGN +17.7%🟢 Amazon $AMZN +17.7%🟢 Microchip $MCHP +16.6%🟢 Mondelez $MDLZ +15.8%🟢 Google $GOOGL +13.8%🟢 Apple $AAPL +13.6%🟢 Broadcom $AVGO +12.5%🟢 Linde $LIN +12.2%🟢 Airbnb $ABNB +11.6%🟢 Keurig Dr Pepper $KDP +11.1%🟢 American Electric Power $AEP +10.9%🟢 Costco Wholesale $COST +10.4%🟢 Cintas CTAS +8.8%🟢 Cadence CDNS +8.8%🟢 Nvidia NVDA +7.6%🟢 Kraft Heinz KHC +6.6%🟢 Gilead Sciences GILD +6.1%🟢 Xcel Energy XEL +5.9%🟢 NXP Semiconductors NXPI +5.6%🟢 Vertex Pharmaceuticals VRTX +5.2%🟢 Exelon EXC +5.1%🟢 Paychex PAYX +4.2%🟢 ADP +3.6%🟢 Electronic Arts EA +2.7%🟢 Ferrovial FER +0.8%🟢 CoreWeave CRWV +0.2%🟢 Walmart WMT -0.2%🔴 Regeneron Pharmaceuticals REGN -1.2%🔴 PayPal PYPL -2.0%🔴 O'Reilly Automotive ORLY -2.0%🔴 PepsiCo PEP -2.8%🔴 Microsoft MSFT -3.9%🔴 Take-Two TTWO -5.1%🔴 MercadoLibre MELI -6.8%🔴 Rocket Lab RKLB -6.9%🔴 Axon AXON -7.1%🔴 Warner Bros. Discovery WBD -8.7%🔴 Booking BKNG -10.0%🔴 Roper ROP -11.9%🔴 DoorDash DASH -13.4%🔴 Qualcomm QCOM -13.7%🔴 Comcast CMCSA -14.4%🔴 T-Mobile TMUS -14.9%🔴 Meta Platforms META -15.7%🔴 GE HealthCare Technologies GEHC -17.1%🔴 Synopsys SNPS -17.2%🔴 IDEXX IDXX -17.4%🔴 Autodesk ADSK -20.9%🔴 PDD Holdings PDD -21.9%🔴 Netflix NFLX -23.5%🔴 Thomson Reuters TRI -24.5%🔴 Workday WDAY -25.4%🔴 Copart CPRT -25.6%🔴 Constellation Energy CEG -25.6%🔴 Shopify SHOP -27.2%🔴 SpaceX SPCX -27.8%🔴 Adobe ADBE -28.5%🔴 Honeywell Aerospace HONA -30.5%🔴 Palantir PLTR -30.8%🔴 Tesla TSLA -30.8%🔴 Intuitive Surgical ISRG -37.6%🔴 Strategy MSTR -38.6%🔴 AppLovin APP -41.3%🔴 Alnylam Pharmaceuticals ALNY -48.3%🔴 Intuit INTU -52.3%🔴

BREAKING: US stock market futures surge after Pakistan announces that the US and Iran have reached a peace deal: 1. S&P 500: +0.8% 2. Nasdaq 100: +1.3% 3. Dow Jones: +0.6% 4. WTI Crude: -5.0% 5. Brent: -4.0% 6. Gold: +2.0% Pakistan says the peace deal is set to be signed on June 19th.

Tesla is still dominating. In the first half of 2026, they secured over 52% of the U.S. EV market. 1. Tesla: 52.3% — 242,100 units sold 2. Chevrolet: 6.1% — 28,267 3. Hyundai: 5.8% — 26,936 4. Cadillac: 4.7% — 21,855 5. Rivian : 4.7% — 21,770 6. Toyota: 4.7% — 21,767 7. Ford: 3.6% — 16,606 8. Kia: 2.7% — 12,627 9. BMW: 2.4% — 10,790 10. Subaru: 2.2% — 10,064 11. Honda: 1.8% — 8,407 12. Lexus: 1.7% — 7,814 13. GMC: 1.4% — 6,645 14. Lucid: 1.1% — 5,208 15. Volvo: 0.9% — 3,964 16. VW: 0.8% — 3,768 17. Mercedes: 0.6% — 3,010 18. Porsche: 0.6% — 2,967 19. Other Brands: 0.6% — 2,596 20. Nissan: 0.4% — 1,774 21. Audi: 0.4% — 1,697 22. Genesis: 0.1% — 560 23. Dodge: 0.1% — 534 24. Jeep: 0.1% — 418 25. Mini: 0.1% — 307 26. Acura: 0.0% — 108 (Data Via Cox Automotive Q2 2026 EV sales)

The dispersion inside the S&P 500 this year has been massive. While 99 stocks are up more than 20%, 63 names are down at least 20%, showing just how selective this market has become. Top movers include: ◾ $SNDK +539.4% ◾ $INTC +230.7% ◾ $AMD +107.9% Meanwhile: ◾ $PLTR -24.0% ◾ $TSLA -6.4% ◾ $ORCL -0.8% The S&P 500 itself? Just +8.2%.

Leopold Aschenbrenner's 13F finally dropped and X is already full of the DUMBEST interpretations possible! Please read this. 1. The 13F shows what the fund held as of quarter-end: March 31. 2. A huge part of the positions are PUTS. Does this mean he's bearish today? -> WE DON'T KNOW! Everyone is just guessing. It is completely possible that he bought those puts during the quarter as the Iran war escalated, to hedge, and they increased a ton in value. They might have started as small positions that simply grew a lot. He might have sold them at the exact bottom, perfectly timed the market, and gone 100% long for the massive rally that started on April 1. OR he was insanely bearish, bought a lot of puts, kept them, and completely screwed up by being massively positioned in puts before the craziest rally ever. He could have made the most genius move or the dumbest move possible and now look like an idiot. WE DON'T KNOW. This is the issue with such delayed reports. But of course today, you will see everyone on X go crazy with: "Leopold went short aaaaaaaaaaah, the sky is falling, he's calling for a crash." But that was months ago, in the middle of the Iran volatility! We have no idea if he added to his puts or if he's currently 100% long or maybe even bought calls?! We don't know if his move was good or bad. So while you're reading all these takes on X today, know that you're going to read a ton of complete nonsense from people who have no idea what they're talking about. But here are some things that stand out to me! While he decreased his $BE exposure, Bloom Energy was still his biggest position (6.4%) Closely followed by $SNDK (5.3%) He also cut $CRWV from 8% -> 4% I honestly can't believe he missed $NBIS so badly. He also reduced his $IREN position from 6% to 3% (even though he net added shares). Big $CORZ cut aswell from 7.6% -> 3% HUGE cut in his $CRWV calls from 14% -> 1% A lot of $TE investors are getting excited he built a position, which is definitely bullish, but it's worth mentioning that was most likely before the big drop after the disappointing earnings and it's a tiny 0.3% position for him. One of the funniest positions is a 0.15% $GLW Put lol. 100% / Completely went out of: $INTC Calls (13.5% -> 0%) $CIFR (2.8% -> 0%) $EQT (2.4% -> 0%) Photonics: $LITE (8.6% -> 0%) That one is super interesting to me. Also cut $TSEM and $COHR from 1.5% -> 0%

August @DallasFed Services Index fell to 4.2 vs. 7.2 est. & 6.6 prior; company outlook down to 3.0 vs. 10.4 prior; revenue down to 6.6 vs. 9.5 prior; employment down to 0.8 vs. 2.6 prior

Last wk, S&P/Nas/Mag7 +0.4%/+0.1%/-0.8%. Cooler inflation (CPI, PPI) & economic data (consumer sentiment, retail sales) but +5% oil steepened the yield curve but lowered odds of a rate hike. Looking forward, I continue to believe the impact of Agentic AI with the advent of OpenClaw on January 30th has at least a year to run: 1) Token production has gone up roughly ~7.5x from the end of January more than offsetting the nearly 50% token cost reduction seen since open-weight model usage started to take off in May. 2) Combined annualized run-rate revenues for OpenAI and Anthropic which ended last year at $29B seems to be around $100B currently with Anthropic getting profitable in Q2. 3) Capex from the Big6 hyperscalers accelerated from 84% y/y/ in CQ1 to 92% in CQ2 with forecasts for nearly 100% in Q3. But this is being supported by cloud revenue growth at the 3 Big Public cloud vendors of $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL accelerating from 23% y/y in Q1:25 to 35% in Q1:26 to 43% in Q2:26. Arguable more important is public cloud operating margins expanded from 34% to 37% and 39% during those time periods. 4) The $500B financing deal backstopped by up to $125B from $NVDA adds even more lower cost money to fund AI capex spend for the non-hyperscaler players. Nvidia gained 0.5% last week. 5) The liquidation of Situational Awareness and retail accounts during July cleared out some of the frothiness in the AI related names In terms of negatives: 1) The cost of money (yields on government bonds) remain near the highest levels for the 30 yr tenor at 5.3% since 2007. 2) Given large scale offensive US military actions are seemingly off the tablein favor of financial sanctions, probably driven by current election polls, I now believe Iran is likely to hold the Strait of Hormuz hostage until past the US mid-terms. This would be akin to them releasing the US hostages in 1981 (they were held for 444 days) just hours after President Reagan was sworn in replacing Carter. There were severe financial sanctions then also. 3) Since 1990, which happens to be the Gulf War, from the end of July through November 9th, which covers the reaction to all mid-term results, the performance is worse than non mid-term years. For mid-term years the median S&P500 gain from 7/31-11/9 is 0.9% with gains 56% of the time but the median peak loss from 7/31 is 6.2% (intra-period median peak loss of 9.9%.) For non mid-term years the median gain is 2.7% from 7/31-11/9 with gains 59% of the time and the median peak loss from 7/31 is 3.5% (intra-period median peak loss of 5.2%.) This year with the momentum seen by the Socialists which are not big business friendly, I see more risk than normal. 4) The easy money on the AI technical rebound from oversold levels on 7/29 due to the forced sale by Situation Awareness is probably over. There were negative stock reactions to headline beat and raise earnings on both revs & EPS for AI infrastructure winners $CSCO (-8% for the week but still up +45% YTD), $AMAT (-6%/+97%) and $COHR (-14%/+77%). While negatives can always be found, their biggest crime was arguably their recent bounce from 7/29-8/7 of 8%, 24% and 71% respectively and their market beating YTD gains. In summary, I remain bullish. Even from the end of July through November 9th during mid-term years since 1990, the S&P has an additional median gain of 4.2% to its peak before giving some of that back closer to the election. Given some of the negatives, especially the reaction to solid earnings data, I would add some hedges back on further market gains and get more selective. Consumer discretionary hedges should also make sense if oil is higher for longer. I believe value should continue to accrue to the infrastructure layer which includes 1) the public cloud vendors such as Amazon, Microsoft, Google and 2) the semiconductor companies. $INTC, my favorite semi company, still gained 0.8% last week despite: 1) a $20B equity offering which causes ~5% dilution and 2) being up 178% YTD. This clears the funding overhang. All the best in the week ahead.

Foreign born population of each country : Jan 2001 Jan 2025 🇦🇹 8.7% 22.5% 🇧🇪 8.4% 20.2% 🇩🇰 4.8% 14.4% 🇫🇷 5.5% 14.0% 🇩🇪 8.9% 20.5% 🇬🇷 6.9% 11.0% 🇮🇸 3.1% 21.8% 🇮🇪 4.0% 23.3% 🇱🇺 37.5% 51.5% 🇳🇱 4.1% 16.8% 🇳🇴 4.1% 18.7% 🇸🇮 2.1% 15.5% 🇪🇸 3.4% 19.3% 🇸🇪 5.3% 20.8% 🇬🇧 4.3% 20.0% Now add children born to foreign parents and the situation looks even worse. We are living through the demographic annihilation of the people of Europe.

German inflation is heating again: headline CPI rose to 2.9% YoY in Aug from 2.8% in Jul, below the expected 3%, while core inflation held at 2.4%. The culprit is energy, up 10.5% YoY, while services eased to 2.8% from 2,9%, food from 0.4% to 0.1%.