Few earnings TLDRs with my favorite $AXTI and $AMZN: Amazon: - Raised 2026 capex to $220B vs. prior $200B (partly due to higher memory costs, which is bullish on $MU to Samsung) - Even at $220B, Amazon will not have enough capacity to meet all 2026 demand; Jassy expects the same in 2027. - Most incoming 2027 capacity is already reserved, with substantial 2028 capacity also reserved. Mostly read through on upstream semis. $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, and $MSFT all identified compute shortage. All the narratives a few weeks earlier was "excess compute" from Meta and others + hyperscalers cutting back on spend... All BS. Amazon earnings was very bullish on AI semi trade. AXTI: - AXT to double InP capacity during 2026. Then double again in 2027. This is expected to make AXT "by far the largest indium phosphide producer in the world." - LFG - Q2 rev was $47.6M, the highest quarterly revenue in AXT history (InP revenue reached a record $30.7M, from DC applications.) - Revenue increased 77% sequentially and 164% year over year. - InP revenue-capacity targets: $60M per quarter exiting 2026. - $130M per quarter exiting 2027 That $130m target could be hiked too since management stated they find "whatever ways to increase that capacity expansion" - Management said the reported backlog remains well above $100M, but that number no longer reflects all available demand. "Customer demand continues to outpace supply, no matter how fast we add capacity." 800G/1.6T is driving the current cycle, while NPO/CPO extends it beyond 2027. Also they're targeting 50%-plus gross margin: "We should definitely be targeting a number that begins with a five." China demand more than doubled, and their agreements with Casela, $COHR and $LITE did not materially drive Q2. This is not even considering my projected massive ASP hikes yet as InP substrates get more bottlenecked. TLDR: - Amazon too much compute demands, needs capex to fufill it, so upstream semis go brrr. - AXT world largest InP substrate supplier, high gross margins, expansion, and supply can't keep up with demand. Bullish on demand side from Amazon + capex. Bullish on upstream optical supply chains from too much demand.

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Will China still allow InP exports to the U.S.? I’m very bearish on AXTI. Now I’m starting to wonder whether U.S. companies will even be able to use CXMT DRAM. Not financial advice. Do your own research.

1,000+ tradable stocks & ETFs on StableStock. And counting… Today's newly added names are now live — here are 6 highlights from a much longer list. - 2X Long AXTI Daily ETF ( $AXTX) 2x daily leveraged exposure to AXT Inc — compound semiconductor substrates (InP, GaAs) feeding AI datacenter optics. - First Solar ( $FSLR) The largest US thin-film solar manufacturer — a core beneficiary of IRA incentives and clean energy supply chain reshoring. - HawkEye 360 ( $HAWK) Space-based RF intelligence for defense, maritime, and national security — one of the most-watched defense tech IPOs of the year. - Lens Technology ($06613) Apple's go-to protective glass supplier, now expanding into EVs and smart wearables. - Zhaojin Mining ($01818) A pure-play Chinese gold miner — leveraged proxy on the structural gold bull cycle. - Global X Asia Semiconductor ETF ($03119) One ticker, full exposure to Asia's semi stack — Korean memory, Japanese equipment, Chinese foundry leaders. From leveraged compound semis to US solar, from space-based defense intelligence to HK consumer electronics, from gold miners to Asia semiconductors — and many more newly listed names in-app. Trade them all with stablecoins on StableStock.

$LITE reports fiscal Q4 after the close today. As AI data-center networks push toward 1.6T and 3.2T, Lumentum's lead in photonics and lasers is the story — a richer mix of high-margin EML chips is expected to lift gross margin toward ~49%. The tell for a beat sits upstream. Indium phosphide (InP), the core substrate for high-end EML and silicon-photonics lasers, is seeing heavy pull-through: supplier AXTI's InP revenue ran ~3x QoQ and ~10x YoY last quarter, with another 38% sequential gain guided. The other focus is CPO. Management has guided ultra-high-power lasers to start contributing in the Dec 2026 quarter, with hundreds of millions in orders in H1 2027 — so its read on mass-production timing is what the call hinges on. → NFA. For informational purposes only.

Stock Ratings [June 7th]: On current AI sector crash. Explanations below. Strong Buy: $GOOGL $MU $SNDK SK Hynix Buy: $AMZN $AEHR $AAOI $CIEN $COHR $CRDO $DELL $FN $FORM $GLW $JBL $LITE $MDB $MRVL $MSFT $NBIS $NOW $NVDA $RDDT $RKLB $SIVE Hold: $ARM $ASML $AVGO $AXTI $BE $META $MTSI $PLTR $SOFI Avoid: $CBRS $CRWV $ETH $HIMS $IBIT / $BTC $IREN $MELI $SNAP $TSLA $SPCX (SpaceX) IPO --- Thoughts: Strong Buy: GOOGL - $85B raise is dilutive but they actually have ROI on their capex. Tbh, they'll probably always be a Strong Buy for me. Just the cleanest AI ROI among all the megacaps. MU / SNDK / SK Hynix - If you're not bullish on memory, then idk for you. Buy: AMZN - Mainly for AWS reacceleration + Trainium. But some tension comparing AWS growth (+17%) vs Azure (+31%). Feel like custom silicon + distribution combo is durable even if growth rate lags a bit. AEHR - H2 ramp in WLBI/PLBI systems coming, anchored by "significant" follow-on Sonoma order from lead hyperscale customer. Just need to wait a bit esp. for rev to inflect. But AI ASIC burb in is mandatory as device power goes up. AAOI - Q3 capacity ramp (via facility expansion in Texas) toward 650k+ 800G/1.6T units/mth. Capacity coming online is the catalyst imo along w/ already known laser bottleneck + Made in US premiums. CIEN - Just a high quality biz that got pounded last week (-22%). Beat + raise earnings, but stock dropping this much is an overreaction. CEO even said demand is "structural, multi year and AI-driven" shown by AI-driven DCI being their fastest growing part of the order book as new long-haul routes get built for latency and bandwidth. COHR - upcoming CPO ramp (Nvidia spectrum-x) will speed things up, these prices will look cheap when we look back imo. CRDO - Personally bought a ton last week post-earnings drop. Like Ciena, v. high quality compounding hold through the whole AI supercycle. Crazy high margins. Obviously compete w/ Marvell/Broadcom on SerDes, but also need to factor in the 1.6T switch replacement cycle into late 2026. DELL - Trump effect. I've learnt my lesson and will listen to him next time. FN - v. low drama way to ride transceiver demand + iPronics sipho line for cpo. New datacom wins also extending into next FY, although some Nvidia conc. risks. Put them in Buy just to be generous as was unsure tbh. FORM - Important for HBM, adv packaging and CPO for higher yields. Foundry test intensity only set to increase w/ production. GLW - Lead glass core substrates which are an advanced packaging bottleneck. LTP w/ Nvidia to expand US optical manufacturing for AI infra too. JBL - Stock has done nothing for a month, but earnings coming up could be a nice catalyst for a push higher from their DC infra segment growing + outpacing drag from legacy mobility/ev exposure / margin mix. LITE - CPO ramp + Nvidia qualification like Coherent. MDB - AI is not replacing them. Imo they win vs. bolt on vector stores since their architecture is so simple. MRVL - going to $1T according to Jensen. Underlying business is solid though esp. w/ Celestial acquisition for photonics. SPY inclusion last week too is a big positive. MSFT - Current valuations are a joke tbh, markets probs punishing some margin compression. Rev +18%, Azure +40%, AI run rate +123%. So, v. clear enterprise monetisation path. Will be buying next week in retirement account. NBIS - Best neocloud by far. They're a $100B biz vs. ~$57B currently. Jensen: "Nebius will take care of you." NOW - AI is not replacing them. No enterprise CEO/CTO is dumb enough to offboard them at this point. NVDA - Same as Microsoft. Been buying this whole time, but am now even more confused at current cheap valuations. RDDT - AI is not replacing them. Cash printer. ARPUs improving also in legacy segments like international. RKLB - #2# in commercial launch after SpaceX + their IPO should re-rate the entire space comp set where RKLB is the main liquid proxy. Unbelievable earnings also, just executing so well rn. SIVE - everyone on X knows at this point? Hold: ARM - current valuation prices in flawless execution imo. But their IP is growing in DC CPUs e.g. Nvidia grace, AWS Graviton etc. ASML - Elon said yesterday: "ASML should be treasured and supported. It is arguably the greatest company in Europe." - I agree. Also Terafab fireside chat next week High-NA EUV is the next leg, locking in the roadmap through the decade. Could also be a "Buy" for more risk averse people. AVGO - CEO didn't raise >$100B FY27 target + flagged that Google will multi-source. Current AI mix is also diluting margins slightly. Just needed a pullback before the thesis starts working again. AXTI - InP substrate bottleneck, crucial for AI buildout rn. Could also buy rn, just a slow dca since they've run up a ton already + raise completed ($632M) to 2x InP capacity. BE - SOFC winner imo (Ceres 2nd). Don't think it's a buy just yet due to some valuation vs. profitability gaps. META - hold based on capital allocation mainly. Market seems wary of the ROI on their AI capex hence the continuous dips. Also potential raise to fund capex like Google too - once that digests, I'll personally look to buy. MTSI - Big fan of their investment into $IQE since it de-risks operations a lot, but just think COHR/LITE are better options for 800G/1.6T transition. PLTR - Relatively poor Risk:Reward at current multiples. SOFI - rate sensitivity. Loan book + credit performance carry macro risk which caps conviction rn. Some positives though w/ young + growing member base. Would need to look at credit trends + Fed path in June FOMC to re-assess. Avoid: CBRS - avoid at current prices. Would want it to come down closer to ~$40B mc before I look to dca. Would love to hold since they own genuinely unique tech. CRWV / IREN - Financing for both is a mess...debt/dilution. Nebius are just a better multi yr neocloud. HIMS - Forced out of higher margin GLP1s into lower margin braded GLPs from Novo/Lilly. Feel like their moat was to do w/ regulatory arbitrage on compounding. With that gone, it's a customer acquisition + churn biz buying branded drugs at lower margin. IBIT / BTC - Macro setup is hostile. Higher rates for longer (10Y ~4.54%, 30Y >5%) raise opportunity cost. Pure liquidity/risk appetite instrument + both are tight rn. ETH - same as bitcoin. MELI - personally a little confused - either a hold/avoid. Seeing some margin compression via their credit book growing faster than revenues. Talks of margin recovery next year, at which point the stock could re-rate. SNAP - Absolute worst social media app + CEO is a weirdo. Platform keeps losing share to Meta/Tiktok. TSLA - Huge competition from other EV makers shown by production > deliveries volumes. Humanoids will be their next key growth driver, just a little while away. SPCX (SpaceX) IPO: I never personally participate in IPOs + SpaceX specifically is way too overvalued for me. Will be going long eventually though. Rough ballpark would be ~$1.5T if it gets there post IPO. --- Just for very high level notes at current stock prices (NFA). I'm personally staying long despite the current macro backdrop, mainly in AI supercycle names e.g. memory, semis etc. But then you also have great companies at depressed prices, mainly in SaaS which I'm DCA'ing currently. I don't hold positions in all of these names. This is just a subset that overlaps my "Close Tracking" list + X's favourite names.