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A strange thing happens when a crowd tries to leave through the same narrow doorway. The first few people move quickly. Then the flow slows. People push harder. That can make everyone move even slower. It’s called the faster is slower effect a counterintuitive result studied in pedestrian flow experiments. The surprising part is that congestion doesn’t always come from insufficient effort. Sometimes too much individual urgency creates collective inefficiency. Markets have their own version. When many participants react to the same information at nearly the same time, each person may be acting rationally from their own perspective. But their combined actions can alter the environment everyone is responding to. The important variable isn’t always the quality of the decision. Sometimes it’s the interaction between decisions. A thousand sensible reactions can produce an unintuitive outcome. That’s one reason markets are not simply collections of individual choices. They are systems where choices collide. #GameTheory# #MarketStructure# #Trading# #SystemsThinking#
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Adding a road can make traffic worse. It sounds impossible, but it is known as the Braess Paradox. When a new route is introduced, individual drivers naturally choose what appears to be the fastest path. Millions of individually sensible decisions can then produce a slower outcome for everyone. Remove the road, and total travel time can actually fall. The strange part is that nobody needs to make a mistake. Each person is simply optimising their own route. The problem emerges from interaction. That idea matters in markets for a different reason. A strategy doesn’t operate in isolation. Once enough participants respond to the same opportunity, their responses can change the opportunity itself. An edge can therefore have a lifespan determined partly by how many people discover it. The interesting question isn’t always “Does this strategy work?” Sometimes it’s “What happens to the environment if everyone starts doing it?” #GameTheory# #Trading# #MarketStructure#
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Game Theory continues as the Trump administration is considering a government-backed push to expand dollar-denominated stablecoins overseas, including possible joint ventures with private firms, to defend the dollar’s reserve status and increase demand for U.S. Treasuries. End of the petrodollar, dawn of StableCoin.
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$SNDK game theory. If everyone sold last week because they all agreed Black Monday is coming, will it still happen? 😅 Will update if our Startup indicator suite flips bullish in any pane. Let's see what happens!
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Just a game theory scenario running through my head ahead of FOMC. Markets are currently pricing in a multi-year hiking cycle, but the primary goal of a rate hike right now is simply regaining control of 10Y yields and stopping rate volatility. If Warsh hikes rates while making it clear a hike cycle isn't starting, long yields fall and consensus short positioning gets trapped in a classic clearing squeeze.
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welcome to Game Theory brought to you by a delusional fanatic who agrees to slow down AI, hoping everyone else actually does it of course, none of them will slow down INTERNALLY if you're familiar with the paradigm, you’ll know that means everyone loses you're welcome
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Jordi Alexander (@gametheorizing) returns to TOKEN2049 Singapore. The Founder of @SeliniCapital, a market-making and venture firm built on the foundations of game theory from a former professional poker career. Expect a read on cycles and liquidity that cuts through the noise. Tickets:
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OpenAI and Anthropic launching models on the same day is peak game theory! Shows how multiple entities, despite have intentions to act differently, are forced by the game to play in a certain way.
110er mistake: claiming bitcoin must URSF otherwise by game-theory miners will have to switch. wrong! 110 obviously didn't have consensus, users could do nothing. or simply run bitcoin-cli invalidateblock 0000000000000000000169eb6f811ddbd0daf343af7b62180cdb13e7c78dbc16 if worried
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i was airdropped $8k directly into my bank today this is where the game theory gets really interesting the only way to access that $8k, the standard tokies accumulated, or anything else accumulated inside my bank is to exit my charter entirely, burning it in the process it creates an interesting dilemma between realizing value today and continuing to accumulate value over time also a great example of what's possible with soulbound-esque nfts and the financial systems that can be built around them for now, i'll probably just continue holding everything as standard reserve works toward becoming the main liquidity coordinator for robinhood chain take a look at the protocol's daily revenues, and that's during one of the driest periods in the market
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