KawzInvests(@KawzInvests):Just a game theory scenario running through my head ahead of FOMC. Markets are currently pricing in a multi-year hiking cycle, but the primary goal of a rate hike right now is simply regaining control of 10Y yields and stopping rate volatility. If Warsh hikes rates while making it clear a hike cycle isn't starting, long yields fall and consensus short positioning gets trapped in a classic clearing squeeze.

KawzInvests

@KawzInvests

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KawzInvests@KawzInvests

2026.09.15 19:04

Just a game theory scenario running through my head ahead of FOMC. Markets are currently pricing in a multi-year hiking cycle, but the primary goal of a rate hike right now is simply regaining control of 10Y yields and stopping rate volatility. If Warsh hikes rates while making it clear a hike cycle isn't starting, long yields fall and consensus short positioning gets trapped in a classic clearing squeeze.