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Macronix - No LTAs but relatively insulated from DC capex. Gross margin now at 64% and EPS close to the aggressively raised Q2 forecast of 4.
BofA’s Simon Woo: Samsung’s LTAs are structured on supplier-friendly terms, with price declines capped while price increases remain broadly uncapped. For example, QoQ price declines are limited to less than 5%, whereas increases of 10–20% or more are allowed.
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There’s no mention of LTAs in Samsung Electronics’ earnings presentation. That’s disappointing.
$INTC and $AMD to sign CPU LTAs with Chinese customers for AI DCs (Reuters). - Prices of some CPU products have risen more than 40% in China since the start of the year from sources. - Month-on-month increases topping 10% for some products CPUs were already a bottleneck, following CPU ratios due to AI inference... But the broader trend of LTAs seems to be appearing from: - Memory, with $MU, Samsung, $SNDK, and SK Hynix signing DRAM/NAND LTAs. - Photonics, with $LITE, $COHR signing EML LTAs. And recent Trendforce reports that $AMD and hyperscalers are now pursuing CW LTAs. And I'm sure there's many more from MLCCs to all the way to substrates. +1 for the bottleneck investors... hard to be a "bubble that pops" if you have take or pay demand spanning multiple years.
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I'm really starting to worry about the memory LTAs. If the GPU:CPU ratio inverts, what's stopping memory companies from breaking them? This could be v bad for hyperscalers! 😜