Weather #forecasting# is missing data from remote locations like the ocean. One data-collecting airborne balloon from @WindBorneWx fell into the ocean and continued reporting data as a buoy, gathering new information.

JPMorgan is forecasting global food inflation to go from 2.8% now to 5% by early 2027. The driver is fertilizer. 1/3 of the world’s nitrogen fertilizer moves through the Strait of Hormuz, and that strait has been shut since February. Nitrogen goes into about half of all crops grown globally. And unlike oil, there’s no strategic reserve for fertilizer. Nothing to release. NOAA also has a historic El Niño at 69% probability for October to December. Those events have historically cut tropical crop output by 3.5%. US grocery prices are already up 33% since 2019. Not empty shelves. Just expensive food, and it hits the harvest after next rather than this one.

The @NWSBoston is forecasting heavy showers and scattered thunderstorms throughout much of Massachusetts on Monday, possibly causing street flooding. If you are in an area that receives a Flash Flood Warning: • Move to higher ground immediately. • Avoid walking or driving through flood waters.

The @NWSBoston is forecasting heavy rain and flooding risks, especially in Western and Central Massachusetts. Widespread rainfall totals of 2–4 inches are expected between late this evening and early Thursday. Localized swaths totaling between 5 and 7 inches are possible across the higher terrain of the Berkshires and Worcester Hills. Remember: • It is NEVER safe to drive or walk into flood waters. • Do not drive around road barriers. • Seek higher ground immediately if a Flood or Flash Flood Warning is issued for your area. Learn more about flood safety:

The @NWSBoston is forecasting thunderstorms that may include damaging wind and hail this afternoon in parts of Massachusetts. • Plan ahead for outdoor activities. 🌳 • If you're in area under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning, go indoors immediately. 🏠 • Tie down loose objects in your yard. ⛱️ • Turn emergency alerts on your phone on. 🚨

Pollsters have warned about the difficulty of forecasting this year’s midterm results after a candidate with a 22-point polling deficit won Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary.