Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, this afternoon into the evening. Monsoonal thunderstorms may bring areas of flooding to the Southwest. Wildfire smoke continues to impact air quality from the Great Lakes region into New England and the Mid-Atlantic today with widespread Air Quality Alerts in effect. Check for your local air quality forecast.
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There will be potential for scattered flash flooding across the I-95 corridor from D.C. to Boston as rounds of storms are possible ahead of a cold front moving into the region. Urban areas with high runoff will be the most susceptible to flash flooding.
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Severe thunderstorms are expected across portions of the Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, this afternoon into the evening. Some threat may linger into late tonight.
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12:59am CDT #
SPC# Day1 Outlook Enhanced Risk: over portions of the Northeast, mid Atlantic and Lower Great Lakes.
Here are our Key Messages for Saturday (7/18).
The air quality around much of the Great Lakes and portions of the Northeast is unhealthy to hazardous due to smoke from wildfires. Air Quality Alerts are in place.
To see the current air quality in your area, visit
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Preliminary maximum rainfall amounts exceeding 20-25" have occurred during the last four days across parts of south-central TX, leading to catastrophic flooding in the area. Raining continues across south-central TX.
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12:30pm CDT #
SPC# Day2 Outlook Enhanced Risk: for parts of the Lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic
During and after flooding be sure to listen to local officials. Stay out of floodwaters. They can contain dangerous chemicals and objects that could harm you or make you sick.
For the latest flood watches and warnings check
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The best defense is a good offense!
Before you leave for an outdoor event, check the forecast at Hazardous weather can change your plans in an instant, so stay informed and be ready to pivot.
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Wildfire smoke is impacting air quality across much of the Great Lakes region into New England and the Mid-Atlantic with widespread Air Quality Alerts in effect. Check current conditions at
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Here's an updated list of how many times it has reached 100 degrees so far in 2026 at selected longer term weather stations. So far Fayetteville, NC has the top honors. (1/2)
The National Water Center has updated the Key Messages for catastrophic flooding impacts across portions south-central Texas. More info: #
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Wildfire smoke is impacting air quality across much of the Great Lakes region into the Northeast U.S. with Air Quality Alerts in effect. Poor air quality can be hazardous to anyone. Before spending time outdoors, check the air quality forecast to ensure that you aren’t doing yourself more harm than good.
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A HIGH risk is in effect in our Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details:
Preliminary maximum rainfall amounts over 20-25" have occurred during the last three days across parts of south-central TX, leading to catastrophic flooding in the area. Heavy rain is ongoing.
WPC will be updating storm summaries every 12 hours here:
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Widespread, life-threatening considerable flash flooding is expected in south-central Texas through at least Friday. It's important to always follow instructions from local officials including NEVER driving around barricades into floodwaters.
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A Moderate Risk for Excessive Rainfall is out for south-central Arizona on Thursday, July 16. Numerous cases of flash floods are forecast with significant flooding possible. Be sure to have multiple ways of receiving weather warnings in advance of tomorrow's Moderate Risk.
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Mid-day severe weather update from the Storm Prediction Center:
Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into tonight, with the peak threat centered over Illinois and Indiana. Intense tornadoes, swaths of damaging gusts over 75 mph and damaging wind-driven large hail will all be possible. Visit for more.
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The National Hurricane Center Director Dr. Michael Brennan will provide the LIVE update on Potential Tropical Cyclone One around 11:15 AM EDT today June 17, 2026. Please join us on Facebook Live and NHC YouTube Page at:
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