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OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER PCBs: MS highlighting ZDT $4958 TT as beneficiary of team's recent upward revision of optical transceiver TAM. Will gain share due to technical ability & capacity to make the denser, more complex mSAP PCBs needed for 800G/1.6T transceivers, which command 2-4x the ASP of 400G. Worried about CPO pushout? Pluggable demand will remain strong.
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Abstract of PCB Sector & Initiation & Updates 🔥 Initiating & Transferring PCB Coverage: •Initiating CO-TECH. (8358 TT / Buy / TP: NT$480): Share px -54% since June, Margin ramp-up in 4Q26, expansion of HVLP3/4, and px hikes. •Raise TP: EMC (2383 TT / Buy / TP: NT$6,538): Google share gains, product mix upgrading toward M7+/M8+. •Raise TP: Kingboard Laminates (1888 HK / Buy / TP: HK$60.8): E-glass and FR-4 price hike cycle, expansion of high-end copper foil capacity. •Raise TP: Zhen Ding Technology (4958 TT / Buy / TP: NT$729): Market share gains in VR200, leveraging MSAP, ABF supercycle. ☀️ AI Server PCBs: •Nvidia Vera Rubin: PCB content per GPU $750 (vs. $400 for GB200). •Google TPU v8t/v8i: PCB content $800–$1,000 (vs. ~$700 for v7). •TAM Expansion: AI server PCB TAM projected at $13B in 2026 and $29B in 2027. •Zhen Ding benefits from Nvidia platform gains + mSAP dominance in optical modules/CPO. •mSAP Shortage: 2027 capacity constraints due to 800G optical switch and yield limits ☀️ CCL Dynamics: FR-4 Prices doubled to ~RMB 300 since mid-2025; upcycle extends through end-2027/2028. ☀️ Upstream Supply Shortage: •E-Glass Gap: ~15% shortage; requires 3,000 new machines, but Toyota's annual output is only 2,000 units (fully booked till 2028). •HVLP4 Foil: Year-end 2026 capacity at ~1,200 tons/month with a 400+ ton shortage. #PCB# #ZDT# #NVDA# #msap# #ABF# #EMC#
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