Peter Diamandis in a new interview on CNBC this morning said
@SpaceX has the potential to become the world’s first $10 trillion company.
"Well, if anybody can do it, Elon can. I think this has the potential to really be the first $10 trillion company out there and growing. He’s building civilizational-level infrastructure. The challenge is I don’t think the market knows how to value this company. It’s not a company. It’s really four different businesses that are wrapped into a vertical, and you have to look at each individually.
The first business they’re in is global communications with Starlink. Starlink is going to be delivering global gigabit connectivity to the entire planet, billions of individuals. They’re just making a dent in that regard right now. And then they’re going direct satellite-to-cell phone. As Gwynne said on the earnings call yesterday, that’s a $600 billion level of revenue potential, and they expect to take a chunk of that. If you can be driving anywhere on the planet, in the middle of the mountains or in the middle of the outback, and get cell phone connectivity, that’s the service I’m going to want to use on a global basis. So the telecom industry on its own has the potential to deliver a large chunk of that.
The second business that they’re in is as a hyperscaler delivering AI. They’ve already signed up $28 billion of annualized ARR in terms of revenue for that business, and they’re building out faster than anybody else is doing it. They announced yesterday they’ll be at 2 GW of compute at the end of this year and shooting for upwards of 10 GW by next year. And that business alone is where they’re going to be having probably the greatest amount of revenue, especially as they go beyond that to building orbital compute.
Surprisingly, Elon said they’re going to be launching their first AI satellites in partnership with Nvidia in 2027, much faster than anybody thought they would. And if they hit their numbers, we’re talking about an infrastructure of AI compute in space that’s going to be serving all of the hyperscalers, because no one’s going to be building that fast."