499 Detalks 228[CN]: The Capital-Efficient World Cup: Redefining Sports Forecasting via Yield-Bearing Prediction Markets 收益型世界杯：预测市场如何重塑体育竞猜 Time: 12, June, 2026, 20:00 (UTC+8) 🎁Rewards! We will be raffling off a limited number of exclusive Predict Fun World Cup merchandise. Join our Telegram community and participate in the AMA for a chance to win! Host: 499 Group Speaker: 阿黄 @ricardogee — APAC BD Predict Fun @predictdotfun We will explore how yield-bearing prediction markets are redefining sports forecasting with a capital-efficient approach to the World Cup.

prediction markets just became programmable public’s new agents can watch event odds and use them to trigger a stock or bond trade fed cut odds cross 70% → buy duration recession odds jump → reduce bank exposure the new primitive is simple: event probability → portfolio action this is how prediction markets become financial infrastructure

Prediction markets are going mainstream. Fast data, live communities, constant momentum shifts, and millions of fans ready to participate. VOX is building prediction for that speed.

prediction markets are speedrunning 100 years of market structure problems in public first insider information now markets on words/actions people can influence themselves next comes agents finding “public” information faster than any human possibly can this category is going to need way more market design than people realize

Prediction market wagers involving bets on what high-profile people might say in public present heightened manipulation risk and can only be offered in limited circumstances, CFTC staff warned in new guidance

prediction markets might create a funny arms race AI gets better at finding information before humans humans realize they’re increasingly the slow side of the trade so instead of competing with the machine, they start using the same market to hedge against what the machine knows one side monetizes information the other monetizes protection that’s a real market

Prediction market platform Kalshi filed on Tuesday with federal regulators to seek approval to offer leverage on event contracts, a prevalent practice already on Wall Street for stocks and futures. Read more:

prediction for comments "IS THIS AN AD????" no, free open source tools don't pay people to shill. the team doesn't even talk to me I'm just wildly passionate about hermes and local models, and feel immense joy getting other people into them