Ally Zach(@0xallyzach):one of the clearest patterns in polymarket’s short-term btc markets shows up off-platform. across ~11.8k polymarket btc up/down cycles, binance spot volume jumped into the close when the polymarket contract was still trading like either side could win. when the contract was already priced away from 50/50, the burst mostly vanished. 1/8

Ally Zach

@0xallyzach

research @panteracapital | prev @messaricrypto | M.S. @UofIllinois

Joined April 2022

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Ally Zach@0xallyzach

2026.07.07 14:31

one of the clearest patterns in polymarket’s short-term btc markets shows up off-platform. across ~11.8k polymarket btc up/down cycles, binance spot volume jumped into the close when the polymarket contract was still trading like either side could win. when the contract was already priced away from 50/50, the burst mostly vanished. 1/8