Adam Livingston(@AdamBLiv):We are in a new era for Bitcoin, and the $30k 4 year cycle Bitcoin trader bros are gonna have a rough time. November 2022 annualized realized volatility: 83.29% June 2026 annualized realized volatility: 44.11% November 2022 was 86.9% more volatile than June. Daily volatility? Nov 22 had 4.36% vs. Jun 26's 2.31%. Bitcoin's long term capital base is much stronger than 4 years ago:

Adam Livingston

@AdamBLiv

Joined January 2025

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Adam Livingston@AdamBLiv

2026.07.29 21:09

We are in a new era for Bitcoin, and the $30k 4 year cycle Bitcoin trader bros are gonna have a rough time. November 2022 annualized realized volatility: 83.29% June 2026 annualized realized volatility: 44.11% November 2022 was 86.9% more volatile than June. Daily volatility? Nov 22 had 4.36% vs. Jun 26's 2.31%. Bitcoin's long term capital base is much stronger than 4 years ago:

Swan@Swan

2026.07.29 21:00

Bitcoin’s drawdowns are getting shallower. Deepest drawdown by halving epoch: 93.1% → 84.9% → 83.4% → 76.7% → 53.1% so far. Volatility remains. The pattern is changing.