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Adam Livingston
@AdamBLiv
The Bitcoin Wizard | Author of The Great Harvest | @BitcoinForCorps | Advisor @saturn_credit | MSTR + MTPLF + ASST HODLER |
Joined January 2025
276 Following    85.3K Followers
$25 A DAY: BITCOIN OR ASST FOR FIVE YEARS? I modeled 1,825 daily purchases totaling $45,625. The assumptions: Bitcoin rises from $63,561 to $500,000 ASST holds 20,167 BTC throughout ASST buys and sells zero Bitcoin $782.95 million of preferred stock costs 13% annually Common shares are issued to fund those dividends ASST begins at $12.42 and 1.5121× CEBE mNAV Here is the payoff. BITCOIN The DCA accumulates 0.215795 BTC at an average cost of $211,427. Final value: $107,898 Profit: $62,273 Return: +136% Money multiple: 2.36× ASST AT 1.0× mNAV - mNAV collapses to 1.0 ASST finishes at $98.98. The DCA accumulates 915.02 shares worth: $90,569 Profit: $44,944 Return: +99% Money multiple: 1.99× Bitcoin wins by $17,329. ASST AT 1.5121× mNAV - stays the same ASST finishes at $151.68. The DCA accumulates 805.58 shares worth: $122,193 Profit: $76,568 Return: +168% Money multiple: 2.68× ASST beats Bitcoin by $14,295, or 13.3%. ASST AT 2.0× mNAV - mNAV goes up ASST finishes at $202.38. The DCA accumulates 734.87 shares worth: $148,722 Profit: $103,097 Return: +226% Money multiple: 3.26× ASST beats Bitcoin by $40,825, or 37.8%. The breakeven is approximately 1.281× terminal mNAV. Below that multiple, Bitcoin wins. Above it, ASST wins. ASST never acquires another coin in this model, yet its CEBE sats per share still rise from 12,922 to roughly 19,800–20,238. That makes mNAV matter twice. It determines the terminal valuation, and it determines how many shares ASST must issue along the way to raise the same number of dollars. At 1.0×, dilution wins. Above roughly 1.281×, the residual balance-sheet leverage wins. Bitcoin is the cleaner asset. ASST is the wager that Bitcoin reaches $500,000 before the capital structure eats the amplification.
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