🚀BITCOIN BULL RUN IMMINENT🚀
WE LIVE IN A SIMULATION.
Bitcoin bear markets priced in GOLD have lasted:
406 days.
416 days.
440 days.
Historical average: 421 days.
So naturally the latest Bitcoin/gold bear market bottoms after...
433 DAYS.
Then Bitcoin proceeds to rip +41% against gold.
Apparently the monetary system has a RESPAWN TIMER.
We spent 14 months watching everyone declare Bitcoin dead for the 900th time while the hardest-money ratio was quietly approaching the exact same historical expiration date like a frozen pizza in God’s microwave.
And the funniest part?
Bitcoin even made a LOWER LOW in dollars afterward...
...while making a HIGHER LOW against gold.
Now get this. We are 6 months and 5 days passed the bottom now.
Walk forward that length of time from each BTC/XAU bottom in history.
Forward returns in USD:
Six months forward
+36.8%
-9.1%
+55.1%
Median:
+36.8%
Two of the three periods were strongly positive, while 2019 ran directly into the COVID-era disruption shortly afterward.
Twelve months forward
The results become much more interesting:
+144.5%
+1.6%
+87.2%
Median: +87.2%
And crucially: 3 out of 3 were positive 12 months later.
If today's cycle merely matched those historical medians mechanically:
6-month median analogue
$80,279 × 1.368 ≈ $109,800 BTC
12-month median analogue
$80,279 × 1.872 ≈ $150,300 BTC
Fiat chart: “OH GOD IT’S OVER.”
Hard-money chart: “sir, your bear market subscription has expired.”
At some point you have to consider the possibility that Bitcoin is not trading randomly.
It is simply running a recurring program designed to transfer wealth from people who panic after 400 days to people autistic enough to count them.