🔥ASST VS. BITCOIN IN 2026🔥
I ran the entire matrix.
Every possible entry date. Every possible exit date. Same trading days for ASST and Bitcoin.
174 shared trading sessions. 15,051 possible holding windows.
ASST beat Bitcoin in 10,255 of them. 68.1% of the time.
The interesting part is what happens when you separate the results by time.
1 day: 50.3%
1 week: 55.0%
1 month: 61.4%
3 months: 69.4%
4 months: 92.2%
5 months: 97.1%
That 4-5 month region is absurd.
Across every holding period from 84 to 105 trading sessions, there were 1,749 possible trades.
ASST won 1,681 of them. 96.1%.
The median ASST return in those windows was +28.9%.
Bitcoin: -8.7%.
The median ASST investor finished with 39.6% more wealth than the equivalent Bitcoin investor.
Across the entire 15,051-window matrix:
Median ASST return: +9.4%
Median Bitcoin return: -4.8%
Median ASST wealth advantage: +15.6%
And from January 2 through September 11:
$10,000 in ASST became $15,973.
$10,000 in Bitcoin became $8,576.
The heatmap is what I find most interesting.
At short durations, the thing looks almost random.
Then the green begins to consume the chart.
The 4–5 month band is nearly uninterrupted ASST outperformance.
There are orange regions too. They matter. Six- and seven-month windows weaken because those durations increasingly lock you into particular early-year entry prices.
That's why I wanted to test every window instead of choosing one convenient starting point.
The result isn't “ASST always beats Bitcoin.”
It's more interesting than that.
In 2026, the probability of ASST outperforming Bitcoin has been profoundly dependent on how long you gave the capital structure to work: