Binance Research(@BinanceResearch):World Cup season is pulling prediction markets to another ATH. US$31.2B in May notional volume, up ~15% from ~US$27B in January. What began the year as a competitive field has consolidated into a two-platform market: 🔸Kalshi: $18B (58%) 🔸Polymarket: $8.8B (28%) 🔸Others: ~14% The growth is also broadening beyond event speculation. Industry-wide open interest hit $1.3B, and Polymarket created 520K new markets in May alone, up 50x YoY across stocks, commodities, sports, and AI. Both regulation and distribution remain key growth vectors.

Binance Research

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Binance Research@BinanceResearch

2026.06.11 13:32

World Cup season is pulling prediction markets to another ATH. US$31.2B in May notional volume, up ~15% from ~US$27B in January. What began the year as a competitive field has consolidated into a two-platform market: 🔸Kalshi: $18B (58%) 🔸Polymarket: $8.8B (28%) 🔸Others: ~14% The growth is also broadening beyond event speculation. Industry-wide open interest hit $1.3B, and Polymarket created 520K new markets in May alone, up 50x YoY across stocks, commodities, sports, and AI. Both regulation and distribution remain key growth vectors.