Derek J. Grossman
@DerekJGrossman
Founder and Chief Analyst, Indo-Pacific Solutions. Professor @uscdornsife. Senior Fellow @CNASdc & @ChinaGSProject. Words in @foreignpolicy, @NikkeiAsia, etc.
6.8K Following 118.3K Followers
Nearly 70% in Taiwan back status quo, reject unification.
Kashmir is “an important part of India”—with these four words, Ambassador Gor shiftes longstanding US policy, strengthened US-India ties, AND pissed off Pakistan. Impressive!
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Foreign intelligence services of all varieties are living through their golden era of recruitment. CI will pose an enormous threat to US national security for generations to come.
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“China and Indonesia's foreign and defence ministers will meet on Friday, with security, politics and economic issues set to dominate talks, as Jakarta tries to balance ties with both Beijing and Washington amid trade battles and tensions in the South China Sea.”
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Washington’s allies and partners want more than just security collaboration—they want diplomatic and economic support as well.
Trump’s so bad at this.
“China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi urged South Korea not to take sides between Beijing and Washington, saying the U.S. should abandon its ‘hostile’ policy toward North Korea to ease tensions on the Korean Peninsula.”
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Pakistan thought all of its ass-kissing would actually change the US position. Trump still might, for a fee, but so far nothing.
Ambassador Gor visited J&K today in a big boost to India, but the problem is his boss may prefer Pakistan.
It was a pleasure to receive @USAmbIndia Sergio Gor in Srinagar today. We had a very good conversation about the possibilities that exist to widen & deepen the engagement between J&K & the United States of America, particularly in areas like tourism, horticulture & the new economy. I look forward to continuing this engagement & taking our conversation forward.
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Under 'flexible realism,' Washington demands greater commitments and sacrifices from its allies while reserving the right to reconsider its own commitments at any moment, writes @DerekJGrossman.
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Pakistan continues enticing Bangladesh via intelligence exchanges—almost certainly related to perceived Indian threats.
“India Tuesday shifted its position on Bangladesh, highlighting the necessity of “reciprocity” in ties, as Dhaka continues to raise the political temperature over the extradition of former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina.”
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He trying to put Iran in the rear view mirror. Ain’t gonna happen.
NEW: President Trump is pushing aides for a meeting as soon as this fall with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
There's been talk of a gathering around Trump's possible next Asia swing to attend the APEC summit in China.
No planning is officially under way.
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Bridge Colby's "flexible realism" is just mumbo jumbo. Sure, engaging with Cambodia to challenge China makes sense. But otherwise, US allies and partners seek our sustained commitment based on more than transactionalism, circumstances, and arbitrary burden-sharing. Indeed, common principles and values are the glue that binds, and Bridge's approach discards them entirely. I'm also worried about a conscious deprioritization of the Indian Ocean replaced by an all-in strategy at the First Island Chain as well as Trump's penchant for wrecking everything regardless of Bridge's dreams (see US-ROK military drills this week). My latest piece for @ForeignPolicy explains.
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Asia pivot is dead.
RIP 🪦 2014-2026
