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Hermes Lux
@HermesLux
Aut viam inveniam aut faciam | Contributor: @BitcoinForCorps
194 Following    14.7K Followers
This is an amazing high-level overview of the USD system.
Them: "Bitcoin is too complicated." Meanwhile, the US dollar:
Imagine that... daily dividends, here we come!
Strategy is proposing daily dividends on $STRF, $STRC, $STRK, and $STRD, accruing every calendar day, including weekends and holidays, and paid the next business day, with economics unchanged. The proposed changes aim to support price stability, liquidity, and demand.
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Every 210,000 blocks, about every four years, Bitcoin's new-coin reward is cut in half. The schedule is public. No vote rewrites it overnight.
I priced my house in Bitcoin. Turns out I've been living in a depreciating asset this whole time.
I've seen this movie. Out of bubblegum means back to buying. 846,000 BTC and counting. $MSTR
Bitcoin broke the May high while the long end kept climbing. That's the tell. When the bond market demands more to hold dollar debt, the Fed eventually has to choose between the Treasury and the currency. It usually picks the Treasury. Bitcoin is pricing that choice early.
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Bitcoin broke through the May high this week, which I clearly got wrong. I thought that energy/yields/rates heading higher would immediately pressure Bitcoin. A weekly close above the May high would improve confidence in the rally. The long end rising recently is starting to pressure risk assets. So far, Bitcoin has shrugged it off, which caught me off guard. If that changes, and Bitcoin closes back below the range highs with this move ending up as just a wick, things can change quickly. I'm trying to be less deterministic about these outcomes. The rally above the May high certainly humbled me. For breakout traders, I think the weekly candle is worth watching closely for either confirmation of the breakout or a failed move back into the range, particularly with rates rising into a supply shock. I discussed this at length in my last video for anyone curious about a more serious discussion rather than just a brief post.
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Seems elevated.
Unbelievable. 3 hours later and the 10Y Note Yield is now above 5.20% for the first time in 19 years. The 10Y Note Yield is now up +50 basis points in 30 days and +30 basis points in 2 days. Even more remarkable is that the average American has no idea this is happening. Yet. The bond market is imploding in front of our eyes.
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This is not a matter of preferring daily dividends. What matters is that daily issuance functionally eliminates the ex-dividend date on a ultra high frequency dividend issue preferred equity. That removes a recurring source of volatility and allows the security to function more like money itself—rather than a volatile instrument that can be traded around a handful of dates each month. That is the company’s stated objective for STRC.
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$STRC paying daily dividends isn't prohibited by Delaware law. The issue is that Delaware requires dividends to be declared by the board and paid only from legally available funds. Doing that every day would create a cumbersome governance/legal process. It's still doable with the right structure, but much harder than simply setting a daily distribution mechanism into the security's terms. Would you prefer daily dividends?
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Follow the trend. $MSTR
🔥 LATEST: President Trump bought up to $100,000 worth of Strategy shares in July, according to a new ethics filing.
An Argument for Daily Dividends. If @Strategy leadership decides daily dividends serve the company, they will happen. SATA will not be the last ticker to do it. STRC already cut the old monthly reset in half. That's good but it could be better since it still leaves two concentrated ex-div events every month—two price drops, two volume spikes, two windows for dividend-capture and calendar games. Daily payment dissolves the event. Every session becomes the same day. Buyers get entitlement immediately. Volatility compresses. Compounding accelerates. The instrument starts behaving like cash instead of a twice-a-month calendar trade. That is the same logic as deposit interest. Banks accrue it on the daily balance so the account does not lurch around a single pay date. They pay to keep funding from walking. Semi-monthly STRC still does the opposite: two mechanical gaps, two liquidity spikes, two reasons for the price to trade like a scheduled event instead of money. Daily dividends strip that shock out. Entitlement attaches every session, compounding runs continuously, and the security stops being a calendar trade. That is what Strategy has to do if it wants STRC to look less volatile and act more like money—pay every business day the way SATA already does. Once that standard is set, even semi-monthly looks obsolete. If you want something to trade like a bank deposit, then it has to have a similar treatment.
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I'm ready for Strategy to announce they're moving STRC to daily dividends. That would beat the company spending $175M a week buying back its own shares.
Theta decay today
Today’s a good day to watch fat theta decay do what it does.
I'm ready for Strategy to announce they're moving STRC to daily dividends. That would beat the company spending $175M a week buying back its own shares.
Today’s a good day to watch fat theta decay do what it does.
Strategy is executing a multi-decade project to make Bitcoin the base monetary capital of the world by first becoming the largest holder of that capital, then building the full credit, money, yield, and equity architecture on top of it so that every form of capital on Earth can participate — without ever changing Bitcoin itself.
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