Kacper Piotr Kaminski
@Kacper_PK_CH
Trader & Investor | Founder of Cerlogic
Markets Research Network.
Sharing positions, trend alerts, and insights in equities, metals, energy, FX & agriculture.
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S&P 500 - $SPY
Still no real selling. This time most didn't even exit, they are terrified of not being in the market when there is flip in war policy.
Not saying they're right or wrong, I don't even think that way anymore. But it'd be quite ironic if we sell on next ceasefire and "Hormuz opening", or should I say Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab, we have two straits in play now.
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US dollar - $DXY
Seems ready for that move to 104-106 now, unless they stop the war escalation. Would look for what holds best if that happens. Also, I wonder how equities would react to such a move.
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Soybean oil trade, now closed - $ZL
What a ride it has been! Overall +40% from entry, initial risk of 1% turned to roughly +4% to the trading account.
Why exit? We've now entered the first short-term downtrend in a long time (8/21 EMA cross on daily). I'll revisit if it's reclaimed.
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