Okay but aside from pandemics, cryptocurrency, scaling laws, power seeking, instrumental convergence, CoT monitorability, mechanistic interpretability, RLHF, bednets, AI task time horizons, sycophancy, RL induced reward hacking, emergent misalignment, YIMBYism, and the fundamental insights that enabled a small offshoot of OpenAI employees to actually overtake them, when have the EAs ever been right about anything?
Astra + ¼ of OpenAI's production engineers + (conservative estimate) $5m inference for cyber defense was defeated by like three guys with $5k of Opus 5 inference on offense.
Everything might be cooked.
Also another point for "invert every conclusion a16z broadcasts"