Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer. Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war. To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha. The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people. And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final. We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it. Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made. They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making. One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.

I tracked America’s surveillance state from five years ago to today, and where it looks to be headed next based on who’s funding it. The same four sources of money keep showing up behind the cameras on your street, the databases holding your records and the AI going onto military bases. These are the investors I was told not to name on the Shawn Ryan Show. They’re also behind the companies Ryan invests in, and their founders and partners were his guests 12 times in the year and a half before I sat down. They’re all cashing in on the privatization of the American surveillance state right under our noses. Article is at Substack link in bio and it's free.

The Glacier piece cites Wayback captures of changing privacy policies, USPTO filings, USASpending records, and company deletions with exact dates. The university risk model scores 31 schools on 10 public criteria including Title IX findings and undercounted assaults. Style is consistent first-person investigative with original timelines and scoring. Using AI for research is normal; these read as researched analysis, not pure AI-generated fakes.

Hey @grok Run through Leah Files Substack and analyze her work to determine if it’s “AI-generated fake deep dives.” Using AI for research is normal. Determine whether there are any full articles or large analysis sections that look AI-written rather than researched-and-written.

Okay @RealCandaceO since you can’t stop taking about me on here, I will take you up on your offer to come on my “podcast”. I will get it back up and running just for you. Let me know some dates. Feel free to have your people email me. Talk then.

Wanted to come on since I had seen some posts circulating about my Midterms Prediction article. I published the wrong draft of my midterm predictions article on Substack last night. It was an old draft I started weeks ago, before everything with Shawn Ryan happened. I updated the numbers and graphics this week, then accidentally hit publish on the old file. I caught it within 20 minutes and took it down. I was on a flight, so the corrected version took a bit longer to go up, but it was live before the screenshots and posts started circulating. It has a note at the top showing what changed. If you read it in your email, please use the link instead. For anyone who missed it, the piece is my predictions for who I think will win and why. It was meant to be fun and to get people talking, not report on what is happening. The mistake is mine, and I own it and I immediately unpublished it and corrected it. If you ever spot something wrong in my work, tell me and I’ll fix it. If you’re sharing the old version, please share the corrected one instead. It’s on my Substack, linked in my bio. Replies are off so this stays a correction, not a debate. Now back to work, because it’s a big week for America!

We have given Israel at least $22 billion extra since the genocide began. They have used that money to murder over 75,000 Palestinians (and Lebanese, Syrians, etc.) and 22,000 kids. Now, they say if you don't continue to give us that money, Zionists in America "don't feel safe."

“A bitch that says she has no memory before 14 is a liar”. Wow. Must be nice to have that experience but it’s real and not something people brag about. You could have reached out to me. You may be surprised. I’d be happy to speak with you and you can ask me whatever you want. But for edification, not for views. Let me know. You know people who have my number. Text any time.

@SharkeyJabs @leahfiles @realhonestash @RealCandaceO Around 30 posts, replies, or comments by realhonestash referencing leahfiles or Leah in the last 8 days, based on keyword searches across that period.

“A bitch that says she has no memory before 14 is a liar”. Wow. Must be nice to have that experience but it’s real and not something people brag about. You could have reached out to me. You may be surprised. I’d be happy to speak with you and you can ask me whatever you want. But for edification, not for views. Let me know. You know people who have my number. Text any time.

Here’s where I’m currently at on the saga with @RealCandaceO & @leahfiles Everyone needs to remember that Shawn Ryan started all of this. He attacked Leah, posted the interview with seven minutes cut and never even denied his pre-recording redaction stipulations. Candace and Baron both jumped in way too early missing that point entirely. And their biggest gotcha is claiming Leah’s in depth substacks are just ai regurgitation? What did Leah lie about? You have to go back to that. The answer is nothing. So is it true that members of Ryan’s team left over the way he handled Leah? Not confirmed yet, but that’s a big question. I don’t think enough people heard exactly what Leah told Stew Peters on exactly what she was censored on. It wasn’t just Peter Thiel. So Leah has been dragged through this, Shawn was a dick, Baron was uncharacteristicly glitchy. And by time Leah started talking with Candace she was fed up with these smears lacking any substance. I hope Candace has her on now, hopefully it’s not too late. But this still looks horrible on Ryan, and it’s not a good look for Candace either. She completely missed the fact that her buddy didn’t even deny restricting Leahs interview and he confirmed he invested in the enemy of the people. If TPUSA did something like that she would be all over it. I’m still giving Candace a pass for a variety of reasons, but people who read the Leah Files know she’s on the team. Pride and blind loyalty muck things up. And it all starts with Shawn Ryan. Hopefully Leah and Candace clear things up, but it’s going to have to go back to what really happened with Shawn Ryan, Sarah Adams and this producer who reportedly quit. Also his drug experience in Mexico right before the Leah interview? It’s like he needs his friends to check in on him not just blindly defend him. There’s a lot of shadiness in this story and the spotlight needs to get off the spat between Candace and Leah and back on the core of this entire controversy.

Let me help you out, Candace. Those are tournament chips, and they aren't worth a dime outside of the tournament. Every player pays the same one-time buy-in and gets the same starting stack. There's no casino loan involved, and there never is for tournaments. I play maybe once a year because I love the game which I've talked about before. A little concerning how low you are going without doing your research. Maybe your time would be better spent looking into Polymarket, your friend Shawn's sponsor? The literal betting app who's major investors include Don Jr, Founders Fund (Peter Thiel), and the Intercontinental Exchange, you know the NYSE's parent company. The one I had to do a sponsorship for while on his show, a few days before dropping a follow the money on them. Maybe that is where your time should be spent. Not by making up stories about someone who has contributed to good research for the Charlie Kirk case. This is beyond personal and I don't underst

Forbidding a guest to mention Peter Thiel & Andreesen Horowitz during the show , then NOT releasing the episode until he was called out for NOT releasing it is NOT transparency. It’s censorship & then trying to save your reputation after being called out for censoring & NOT releasing the episode until. He didn’t deny telling her she couldn’t mention Thiel/Andreessen/Horowitz, how is everyone ignoring that part? When someone with very little talent comes out of nowhere & shoots to the top of YouTube you know he’s being pushed by the deep state algorithm. Real adversaries of the establishment are put on the “borderline content” algorithm & suppressed like my show. Wild to see people pretending this is actual transparency instead of censorship for the powerful & scrambling to save face after being called out.

Yeah the timing is just off. Her piece on Glacier goes up and a couple days later you’re running the ad for Shawn’s app, the one he actually co-owns. Then people notice, and suddenly you’re dumping the DMs, calling her research AI garbage and her background fake. You had dinner with the guy. Your episode ran fine. Hers got shelved. Now you’re the one reading the ad while treating the criticism like it’s just drama. The ownership stake, the privacy policy flip, the Twilio logs, the no liability clause, that’s all sitting in public docs. Not some secret conspiracy that needed a year of work. If follow the money only counts when it’s not your friend’s sponsor, just say that.

Why is everyone suddenly having amnesia about who runs the business side of Candace’s podcast, including the ads? She has repeatedly said it’s her husband, who stays off social media and is unlikely to know the ins and outs of this community. Considering how often she says she doesn’t understand tech, the idea that she suddenly knows all about the Glacier app and how it works makes me wonder whether the people trying to cancel her over it have ever even watched her show.

Here’s the thing though: whether @leahfiles is a spook or not is 100% irrelevant to Candace, Shawn, and Baron destroying their own credibility by scrambling to protect Shawn’s reputation, his/their operation(s), and his investments, all at Leah’s expense with nothing but logical fallacies and ad hominem attacks. Leah could secretly be an axe murderer and this would remain the case. Leah was a non-factor in this here clip wherein Shawn tells Anduril founder Palmer Luckey—whose company he’s heavily invested in, which produces drones killing kids in Gaza, and whose drones are compatible for use with the HADES jet that flew over UVU on 9/10—about a deal he’s taking similar to Luckey’s for $10 billion over ten years. •Shawn called Leah a fraud. •Candace said Leah’s research on Glacier app was full of big errors. •Crazy Village Lady attacked Leah on Candace’s behalf claiming Leah lied about her private conversations with Candace. Not ONE of these people has been willing to cite ANY examples or evidence of their defamatory accusations of fraudulence, errors, or lies. Don’t let your desire for them to be trustworthy drive you to deceive yourself when they show you exactly who/what they are. Don’t suppress the inconsistencies you observe with your own eyes and ears between the image they portray (good Nashville Catholics) versus the character traits they demonstrate (scrambling and lashing out to protect the deep state). Don’t forget that limited hangout, sheep dipping, controlled opposition, etc are all very real, very common practices. Don’t forget that the bigger the platform, the more skeptical you should ALWAYS be of their authenticity, especially when the algorithm boosts rather than suppresses or censors their content. If you’re honest with yourself, I think you’ll find there are a lot of reasons to doubt their honesty, legitimacy, integrity, and independence that have absolutely nothing to do with what Leah’s exposed and/or triggered them to expose about themselves. They’re using Catholicism as a cloak, just like Erika Kirk and TPUSA wear evangelical Christianity as a mask. After all, a nice, religious, “heaven-focused” person would never deliberately deceive you. It was the beginning of the end for me when Candace had nothing to say following the Tates’ Miami arrest. After weeks completely ignoring comments asking her to address it, she made a brief statement claiming she simply didn’t want to speak on it until she had a chance to read the legal filings. Obviously, she’s had a chance to read the filings, yet has remained curiously silent about her husband’s good friend’s arrest pertaining to sex trafficking and child rape out of the UK and ROMANIA. She’d previously had Andrew on for an interview in which she portrayed him as if he’s the real victim. She claimed his victims were all liars. You don’t (or shouldn’t) get to remain silent on your and your husband’s own links to sex trafficking, child rape, etc. out of Romania of all places when you’ve spent a year rightly calling attention to such links among many, many people affiliated with TPUSA. Not with your credibility and integrity intact anyway. I tried to make excuses for and look past it because I liked her. I shouldn’t have. Please do tell me if you have any compelling arguments to the contrary. Otherwise, it appears you’re just sucking up to Candace for the clout she accused Leah of seeking for daring to tell the truth publicly. Or maybe you’re in one of those group chats for paid operatives like the Fight! Fight! Fight! MAGA astroturfing campaign, but for the controlled opposition. This seems pretty likely given the spate of bizarre posts praising Shawn’s “transparency” when it was anything but. *I like to use em dashes and have never used AI to author a post, just for the record. To anyone wondering how you add one, you just hit the regular dash twice (on iPhone anyway). I’ve heard some say it’s not possible to type them yourself, but that’s not true.