SITUATION EXPLAINED: How AGI-pilled researchers ended up writing US chip export controls. • It traces to CSET at Georgetown, founded by Jason Matheny, a former IARPA director • Its scholars included Ben Buchanan, Tarun Chhabra, Saif Khan, and Helen Toner • Buchanan's framework: AI progress runs on data, algorithms, and computeompute is the only one of the three that's physical, constrained, and controllable • The 2021 NSCAI report recommended keeping China two generations behind at the leading edge, with Eric Schmidt, Matheny, Andy Jassy, and Safra Catz on the commission • Then that group joined the Biden administration • In September 2022 Jake Sullivan said the US must maintain as large a lead as possible, and the October 7 rules landed a month later @theojaffee: "The 2021 report recommended dramatically increasing government spending on AI R&D, which didn't really happen. Green cards for every AI PhD graduate, which didn't really happen. A digital service academy, which didn't really happen. It was a little bit early."