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MacroScope
@MacroScope17
Topics: institutional trading, asset management and monetary policy. Tweets are opinions only and are not intended as advice.
Joined August 2017
354 Following    90.7K Followers
Traders should be watching gold here. When an asset is in a long-term uptrend, and sentiment gets bombed-out on a big pullback but price quietly stops going down, that’s the time to start watching (similar to BTC right now). Futures positioning in gold isn’t giving a strong indication here, but that’s been true for the past couple years because sovereign buying has made futures a less reliable indicator than in the past. Everyone can see the bid under $4000, which is pretty much where you’d expect longer-term buyers (ie, sovereigns) to come alive. If I was looking to trade it, I’d probably start thinking about a small feeler position around here (and on a move under the June/July lows, I’d dispassionately step aside and wait for a reclaim of 4k). On a move to 4100-4200, I’d be thinking about adding to that long. Important: When an asset is in a sharp correction after a blowoff top, the burden of proof is always on the asset to show strength. Always. Not advice, just sharing my thinking.
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