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Metis🌿
@MetisL2
AI Aligned, Human Defined.
Joined August 2020
739 Following    209.7K Followers
Superintelligence isn't the hard part. The hard part is: how do you connect a model that can reason about anything to a workflow that actually gets done? Every breakthrough model hits the same wall — it can think, but it can't execute.
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The way to the reconcile capability level of AI vs. GDP impact is that the diffusion of AI will take much longer than people think. And it will also show up in ways that are hard to measure in GDP immediately. You could bring the world’s greatest superintelligence to many workflows, and still be bound by the laws of corporate physics: getting data prepared and put into a pipeline, process reengineering and change management, aligning on how the new workflow should function, and so on. Even after you solve all that, you’re still bound by the speed of the real world: waiting for a customer to respond to a proposal, getting a permit for a project, a drug discovery pipeline taking years to eventually reach the consumer, and so on. Not to mention lots of positive daily AI use-cases are entirely net neutral to GDP, at least in the near term. AI diffusion is going to be the theme of the next decade. The upside is that there’s a tremendous amount of opportunity in building the bridges between superintelligence and real-world workflows.
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