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More Births
@MoreBirths
Ideas for reversing the collapse in global fertility, the greatest challenge of our age. Humanity is precious. HT to many great demographers and data analysts.
432 Following    47.5K Followers
It is an astonishing fact that half of all births in several Canadian provinces are to mothers not born in Canada. Immigration is 4-7 times native births. Canada is witnessing one of the fastest demographic transformation in history and will soon be less European than Mexico.
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A newly published paper finds that Gen Z is falling dramatically short of the fertility of all previous generations by age. Gen Z has both lower fertility preferences and higher rates of fertility impairment. That means American birth rates are likely to fall a lot further. 🧵
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An extraordinary map shows the extent that births have fallen around the world. France, Germany, Italy and the UK peaked in births more than 100 years ago. East Asia, Russia and much of Eastern Europe are now 75% below their peaks in births! Thanks @ErminiaDark
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An extraordinary graphic showing what will happen in Poland if fertility rates simply stay where they are. Most of the developed world is on a trajectory of population collapse similar to this. Nothing matters more than turning around birthrate decline.
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What is the effect of high immigration on native fertility? A study used the natural experiment of the large and unexpected immigration surge to Miami in 1980. Native fertility fell in Miami compared to controls as housing costs soared while wages fell. 🧵
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