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Photon Capital
@PhotonCap
Seeing tech through a different wavelength. Photonics & semiconductor research
Joined April 2025
2.1K Following    64.7K Followers
$VICR vs $MPWR - $MPWR: benefits as AI power demand drives more power IC and module content. - $VICR: monetizes not only high-density power modules, but potentially VPD architecture and IP licensing. > Both benefit from rising AI power density, but $MPWR is more of a product play, while $VICR is increasingly becoming an architecture + IP play. > The key question is whether the market is starting to value $VICR not just as a power component vendor, but as a critical IP owner in AI power delivery.
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- $VICR closed another +5.52% higher at $283.16 today, extending its rally even after gaining roughly 20% in the previous session. - The key catalyst is the Q3 sequential revenue growth guidance increase from nearly 10% to more than 20%, with the company directly attributing the revision to royalties from its recently announced VPD license. - More importantly, $VICR is being re-rated from a pure power-module supplier into a company with a meaningful VPD patent royalty business. According to the company, four leading OEMs and hyperscalers have already secured licenses. - At the same time, Fab-1 is approaching capacity while Fab-2 and Fab-3 are being expanded, creating the potential for both IP royalties and product revenue to scale together. > Today's move looks more like strong follow-through from last week's VPD licensing news and this week's guidance raise than a separate major new catalyst. > The bigger story is that as AI GPU power density rises, power delivery itself increasingly becomes a system bottleneck. If $VICR's VPD architecture gains broader adoption in major AI platforms, the market may increasingly value it as an IP + power architecture play rather than just a component supplier. > That said, after roughly +45% in one month and +154% YTD, expectations are now much higher. The next things to watch are additional licensees, actual royalty contribution, and how quickly the new fabs translate into revenue.
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