Brownstein, a 2-time Pulitzer Prize finalist, is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist, senior CNN political analyst & author of NYT best-seller Rock Me on the Water
No GOP Senate candidate in Trump 1 won in a state where Trump's approval is as low as it is now in MI; only Collins 20 won where he was net neg at all. AES prob needs only ~82-85% of Trump disapprovers to win; every D but 1 in Trump 1 won 89% or more. AES could fail, but low bar