Ann Arbor and Lansing voting overwhelmingly for Abdul El Sayed is a clear signal of elite overproduction. These university towns are packed with credentialed people trained to expect elite status and power, then left with nowhere near enough seats for them. Turchin’s data has shown for years that this surplus of ambitious graduates is the single strongest predictor of political instability, the same pattern that hit pre-revolutionary France and the years before the Civil War. Law schools still pump out over 35,000 JDs a year into a shrinking market. PhD programs create far more graduates than tenure track jobs exist. That excess floods into radical politics because it is the last arena still offering status. When Michigan’s most educated zip codes line up behind someone like Abdul El Sayed, you are watching the overproduced class turn frustration into factional power. The next round of chaos will come from the universities that keep minting people told they were destined for the top, then left with nowhere to go. (it’s never the working class)