I hate to be the one to say this but El-Sayed is still favored to win this election. He’s gonna have to see huge drop off from black vote and Jews… but at the end of the day, most of Michigan is just average white guys who are pissed off at prices.
If this was 2024, he would lose as would Peggy Flannagan and a few others.
This model is wild… Republicans lose the Texas and Ohio Senate seats and most moderates go down in flames including Brian Fitzpatrick in PA-01… who pulls red state victories in this Kamala district