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Sam Badawi
@Sam_Badawi
Livestreams & deep dives on stocks, fundamentals & Solid Talk | Stock Talk Insiders, use code "SAM" for 10% off, link below ⤵️
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Cathie Wood was $40M buyer of $CBRS today on its first day of trading. She added it to $ARKK and $ARKW. 😅
$CRBS is planning on going public on Thursday, per WSJ. Estimated to open at $115-125 per share making it a $26.5B valuation. How are we feeling about this? My guess is it opens at $180.
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Ok. Didn’t see that coming with $POET.
$ACHR files to resell $8M worth of stock just a few days after their earnings report. Not a huge amount at all. No position.
Archer Aviation - Q1 2026 Earnings $ACHR 6.62 [+1.15% AH] Revenue: $1.6M (vs $1.6M YoY) Adjusted EBITDA: -$172.5M Net Loss: -$217.7M (vs -$93.4M YoY) Additional Metrics: Operating Expenses: $256.2M [+78% YoY] Cash & Short-Term Investments: $1.78B Q2 Guidance: Adjusted EBITDA: -$170M to -$200M Strategic Updates: - US operations expected to begin this year under the White House’s eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) and in preparation for LA28 Olympic Games - Advanced commercial readiness with expanded piloted flight test program and operations of Hawthorne Airport in LA - Record FAA certification progress as the first to close Phase 3 of the FAA’s 4-phase Type Certification process for eVTOL aircraft* - Significant progress on dual-use, hybrid, autonomous aircraft with phased program awards expected later this year - Rapidly advancing AI stack through partnerships with NVIDIA, Palantir, and Starlink amid the DOT’s ~$20B ATC modernization effort - Ended Q1 2026 with strong liquidity of ~$1.8B and spending in line with guidance
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$FPS WOLFE RESEARCH RAISES PT FROM $43 TO $54, MAINTAINS OUTPERFORM Wolfe raised its FY27/FY28 EBITDA estimates on an improving growth outlook, while continuing to expect a strong long-term revenue trajectory
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Nu Holdings - Q1 2026 Earnings $NU 11.7 [-9.5% AH] ⚪ Revenue: $5.0B (Est: $5.0B) ✅ Adj. EPS: $0.21 (Est: $0.19) Additional Metrics: Net Income: $871M [+41% YoY] ROE: 29% Net Interest Income: $3.25B [+12% QoQ] Total Customers: 135M+
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$FIG is up 13% after a massive triple beat on earnings.
Figma - Q1 2026 Earnings $FIG 21.92 [+8.2% AH] ✅ Revenue: $333.4M (Est: $313.2M) [+46% YoY] ✅ Adj. EPS: $0.10 (Est: $0.06) Additional Metrics: Net Dollar Retention: 139% Free Cash Flow: $88.6M; 27% margin Operating Cash Flow: $97.3M Q2 2026 Guidance: ✅ Revenue: $348-350M (Est: $327M) [+40% YoY] FY2026 Guidance: ✅ Revenue: $1.422-1.428B (Est: $1.36B) Non-GAAP Operating Income: $125-135M
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Mike Alfred's Alpine Fox Capital increased their position in $OPEN by $1.6M and bought more $ETH and $ASST last quarter.
President Trump bought $NOW $ADBE $WDAY and $MSFT last quarter. Looks like he is bullish $IGV.
HERE IS EVERY TRADE THAT 🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP MADE DURING Q1 THAT WAS WORTH MORE THAN $1 MILLION 36 separate purchases between January and March 2026, all at the $1M to $5M range. The full breakdown: AI and Big Tech: - NVIDIA $NVDA (2/10/2026) - Apple $AAPL (3/2/2026) - Microsoft $MSFT (3/19/2026) - Amazon $AMZN (3/19/2026) - Oracle $ORCL (3/17/2026) - Broadcom $AVGO (2/10/2026) - Adobe $ADBE (2/10/2026) - ServiceNow $NOW (2/10/2026) - Workday $WDAY (2/10/2026) - Synopsys $SNPS (2/10/2026) - Cadence Design $CDNS (3/17/2026) - CDW $CDW (2/10/2026) - Comcast $CMCSA (1/12/2026) - PTC $PTC (2/10/2026) - Texas Instruments $TXN (1/12/2026) - Motorola Solutions $MSI (2/10/2026) - Fidelity National Information Services $FIS (1/12/2026) Industrials and Defense: - Boeing $BA (2/10/2026) - Eaton $ETN (3/17/2026) - Trane Technologies $TT (3/17/2026) - TransDigm Group $TDG (2/10/2026) Consumer and Other: - Procter & Gamble $PG (1/12/2026) - Costco $COST (2/10/2026) - Uber $UBER (3/17/2026) - Dell Technologies $DELL (2/10/2026) - Jabil $JBL (2/10/2026) - Axon Enterprise $AXON (2/10/2026) - Kura Sushi $KRUS (2/2/2026) ETFs and Funds: - Vanguard S&P 500 ETF $VOO (purchases on 3/2/2026 and 2/13/2026) - iShares Russell 1000 ETF $IWB (3/27/2026) - Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF $RSP (2/20/2026) - State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF $XLI (1/29/2026) - iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF $COMT (3/5/2026) - iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF $IEMG (1/29/2026) - Schwab Government Money Fund (3/17/2026) Important context per the OGE form: - The 278-T discloses transactions over $1,000 on behalf of the filer, spouse, or dependent child - Many entries are flagged "Discretion Exercised" or "Your Broker Acted As Agent," indicating a managed brokerage account placed the trades - All amounts are disclosed in ranges, not exact figures - The disclosure also separately includes large sales (Meta, Amazon, Microsoft, Netflix, Palantir all sold at significant size on 2/10)
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SETH KLARMAN INCREASED HIS $AMZN POSITION LAST QUARTER BY 47%
One of the greatest value investors ever, Seth Klarman, has nearly $500M invested in $AMZN inside a roughly $5B public equity portfolio. Klarman basically just explained why true investing is not simply buying the cheapest stock on a spreadsheet, but understanding the long-term earnings power and future value creation of a business. That is especially important in today’s market where AI infrastructure, software, and digital platforms can appear “expensive” on current numbers while still being massively undervalued relative to where their cash flows, strategic positioning, and industry importance may be heading over the next decade. Image credit from @carbonfinancex
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SpaceX could file their IPO prospectus as soon as next week, per CNBC
Applied Materials - Q2 FY2026 Earnings $AMAT 461.85 [+4.8% AH] ✅ Revenue: $7.91B (Est: $7.68B) [+11% YoY] ✅ Adj. EPS: $2.86 (Est: $2.68) Additional Metrics: Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 50.0% Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 32.1% Semiconductor Systems Revenue: $5.97B Semiconductor Systems Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 35.2% Applied Global Services Revenue: $1.67B Applied Global Services Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 29.2% Q3 FY2026 Guidance: ⚪ Revenue: $8.45-9.45B (Est: $8.15B) ⚪ Adj. EPS: $3.16-3.56 (Est: $2.90)
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dLocal - Q1 2026 Earnings $DLO 12.14 [-4.1% AH] ✅ Revenue: $335.9M (Est. $331.5M) [+55% YoY] ❌ EPS: $0.14 (Est. $0.17) TPV: $14.1B [+73% YoY] Additional Metrics: Gross Profit: $118.7M [+40% YoY] Gross Profit Margin: 35% Net Income: $41.9M Net Income ex-tax adjustment: $51.6M [+11% YoY] Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $14.7M
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Josh Kushner’s Thrive Capital has taken a $100M stake in $SHOP Shopify.
Figma - Q1 2026 Earnings $FIG 21.92 [+8.2% AH] ✅ Revenue: $333.4M (Est: $313.2M) [+46% YoY] ✅ Adj. EPS: $0.10 (Est: $0.06) Additional Metrics: Net Dollar Retention: 139% Free Cash Flow: $88.6M; 27% margin Operating Cash Flow: $97.3M Q2 2026 Guidance: ✅ Revenue: $348-350M (Est: $327M) [+40% YoY] FY2026 Guidance: ✅ Revenue: $1.422-1.428B (Est: $1.36B) Non-GAAP Operating Income: $125-135M
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$CBRS OPENS AT $385
$CRBS is planning on going public on Thursday, per WSJ. Estimated to open at $115-125 per share making it a $26.5B valuation. How are we feeling about this? My guess is it opens at $180.
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$MRVL RBC RAISES MARVELL PT FROM $170 TO $200
$MRVL BANK OF AMERICA RAISES THEIR PRICE TARGET FOR MARVELL FROM $125 TO $200 The entire report suggests their TAM for AI networking through 2030z specifically a $10B increase for optics and also for Ethernet transceivers. No mention of $GOOGL TPUs. Higher.
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$NBIS is a parabolic beast today. 🦁
JUST IN: U.S. approves around 10 Chinese firms to purchase $NVDA H200 chips, sources say $BABA, ByteDance, $TCEHY Tencent, and $JD among Chinese companies approved by the U.S. to buy NVIDIA H200 chips, sources say Lenovo, Foxconn, and other distributors also received U.S. approval to purchase NVIDIA H200 chips, sources say
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$CBRS is indicating a $400 per share opening price. That is a $100B+ valuation. WAAAYYY higher than my initial $180 target.
$CRBS is planning on going public on Thursday, per WSJ. Estimated to open at $115-125 per share making it a $26.5B valuation. How are we feeling about this? My guess is it opens at $180.
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The U.S. Space Force visited $RKLB Rocket Lab’s primary Auckland facility, highlighting the growing importance of innovative commercial space capabilities as the U.S. builds what officials described as the “Arsenal of Freedom” needed for future national security.
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$NBIS JUST MADE ANOTHER NEW ATH
$NVDA CEO Jensen Huang on $NBIS “NEBIUS WILL TAKE CARE OF YOU”