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Schulz Duggan
@Schulz_Research
AI and chip news as it happens, explained simply. Research on optics and memory from Asia and US filings. Weekly industry explainers. Econ & finance background.
Joined January 2026
87 Following    3.3K Followers
$SNDK Datacenter supplied 88% of Sandisk’s sequential revenue increase in fiscal Q1 2027. That makes the durability of AI storage spending central to the next stage of its growth. 1. Where the growth came from Revenue rose 23% sequentially to $11.031B. Datacenter contributed $4.802B, up 61%, lifting its revenue share from 33.2% to 43.5%. I calculate that datacenter supplied $1.825B of the company’s $2.066B net revenue increase. Revenue growth combines volume, pricing and mix; it should not be read as shipment growth. 2. The next-quarter test Fiscal Q2 guidance calls for $12.2B–$12.6B revenue, 84.5%–85.5% non-GAAP gross margin and $55–$57 non-GAAP diluted EPS, all EPS pre-split. The revenue midpoint implies 12.4% sequential growth. The margin midpoint is slightly below Q1’s 85.1%. Management is forecasting further expansion with broadly stable margins, rather than another step-up in profitability per sales dollar. 3. Keep the weaker business in view Consumer revenue fell 29% sequentially. Datacenter’s larger contribution makes its purchasing cycle more important. This quarter establishes growth; it cannot establish how long today’s pricing and margins will last. 4. What the split changes The 8-for-1 split is expected to begin adjusted trading November 20, following the November 9 record date and November 19 distribution. The same adjustment applies to EPS. Comparing a post-split share price with pre-split earnings would understate the valuation multiple by eight times. The split itself creates no additional earnings or ownership. 5. What I would track next Datacenter demand, realized pricing, manufacturing costs and cash generation will determine whether this earnings level is durable. Supply expansion and customer spending changes are the risks to test. My read: the business evidence supports datacenter-led growth. Turning that into an investment return still requires a purchase price that leaves room for a less favorable memory cycle.
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