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TBU
@TBU12345678
Not investment advice.
546 Following    11.6K Followers
at the end of last year I had postulated that H1 would be a bubble and H2 would be the beginning of the end. my conviction in this continues to grow: - memory (which us finally dominated by DC) is losing steam - similar to previous cycles the “good guy” driver no longer powering the train is bad - only cloud (renting GPUs to labs) is “actually good” at hypers. that puts crazy onus on 2 co’s that aren’t all coming up roses anymore - now that financing relies on debt, rates glidepathing up is a big problem this will take a different form that before (send it all down!) given that pods must always be long some stocks. i think this is just “big unwind” but i am not sure how the market plays it now vs. ‘22 other than increased vol
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jukan is great but this is wrong bc stocks trade on pricing and GM trajectory
3 certainties in life: death, taxes and the $NVDA product delay rumors
$META is as likely to cut capex as $AAPL is to get CXMT approval