$BTC 📈 LTF price action is choppy, but the HTF read is much cleaner. Here is exactly where I will look for new longs 👇 At the end of September, price broke above the range high with intent, then retested and rejected it (bullish). It then failed to reclaim the previous range value ~86,600 USD (no dClose above). Yesterday, we then got a decisive daily close back below the range high. Today, price tried, and failed (as it looks like, wait for the close), to reclaim it - very bearish look on the daily chart right now. Locally, this is starting to look like a failed breakout above "range high". If price moves lower, I’m watching two levels for pot. new longs: 🔸 $80K: Previous smaller range VAH and Golden Pocket confluence. I’ll be watching the reaction for OrderFlow confirmation: Ideally we see a fakout of the low around 80K, wick into the VAH + GP, see lots of new shorts getting absorbed, price then reclaims 80K and we got trapped shorts below - thats my long trigger. 🔸 $77K: If price loses the previous VAH, a rotation toward the previous VAL and weekly level comes into play. The overall range VAH is also here, making this a key support zone for bulls. Acceptance back into overall range value would put the range POC and VAL in focus ~ 64K USD! If the move takes time to develop, the current low aVWAP could add further confluence around the overall range VAH. $77K–$76K is a VERY key support zone on the HTF. If price retests it, I’ll watch the reaction closely for a potential long entry. If price loses the $77K - $76K support zone and the aVWAP, a move back down toward $66K - $62K comes into play to fill the inefficiencies below. That would be the dream entry for anyone who missed the low, so I don’t see it as the most likely scenario right now. My guess is FOMO buyers step in well before then and offer some support. We will see. Level by level: mark the zones, set alerts, and let price come to us. Watch the reaction, take the trade if a setup appears, or wait for the next zone. No predictions. Next, we need to watch whether today’s daily candle closes back above the range high, or confirms a failed reclaim after yesterday’s breakdown. Enjoy your weekend! And remember: Tomorrow marks the 1st anniversary of Crypto D-Day. Take a moment to remember our fallen soldiers we lost that day 🫡

$BTC 📈 The "low anchored VWAP" is a definitely level worth marking on your higher-timeframe charts! 👀 - The VWAP anchored to the previous bear-market low offered some great entries. - The current low aVWAP sits around $73,300 (and rising). To add one, on @tradingview open the left menu, select "Anchored VWAP", then click the current low (or any other point you want to anchor it to). It plots the volume-weighted-average-price from that point onward. On the higher timeframe, the low aVWAP gives us a volume-weighted reference for price action since the major low. That makes it a useful benchmark for the recovery: is price holding above the average traded price since the low? If BTC retests the level, the reaction can show whether buyers are still accepting and defending value above it. The line isn’t guaranteed support or a target, the response after a test is what matters!

$BTC 📈 Earlier, price swept the poorly structured lows we’d been discussing and formed an SFP at the mini-range low. Sellers were absorbed and trapped, so I entered small and waited for confirmation: a reclaim of mrVAL with intent, as I explained in the open Discord. We got a small bounce, but buyers never showed real conviction. The move was mostly short covering, quickly faded back to the lows, and stopped me out. Sellers then followed through to the downside during the NY session. Price action and OrderFlow didn’t convince me to take another position at my zones of interest, and I’m not looking for a new position right now. Next, I’m watching for a sweep of the key low near $80K into the internal-range VAH. For a potential long, I’d want to see absorption, trapped shorts, and a reclaim of the key low. If it fails, irPOC and then irVAL are the next downside levels - thats a very important zone of support on the HTF. The other setup I’m watching is a decisive reclaim of the just lost mini-range VAL with intent, which could set up a rotation higher toward the untested mini range highs. I’m not looking for new shorts right now; I’ll keep watching for new long setups 🔎

$BTC 📈 New shorts keep piling in at the lows and getting absorbed, but the reaction from buyers has been absolute 💩 so far. I’m still looking for a long entry. I’m out of my early, small-sized attempt from earlier, taking a small loss and now want to see price confirm strength by reclaiming lost VAL with conviction. So far, sellers have been absorbed over and over, but buyers haven’t stepped in decisively with intent and result, leading to repeated sweeps of the lows - slow bleed lower - no strength. If we do not get strength with conviction back into lost value, prev. value POC + Daily ~81,200 USD is my next key level to the downside.

$BTC OrderFlow 📊 Lot's of new shorts keep piling in at the lows! Buy low, sell high? F that.. let’s keep aggressively shorting BTC right into range low 👀 So far, those sellers are not really getting the reward! Let’s see how this plays out... 🍿

$BTC 📈 Finally, some movement... Price has lost the mini-range VAH and the mrPOC and is now approaching the mrVAL. There’s no setup for me to enter right now. I still see the poorly structured lows as a target. I’ll be watching how price responds there, using OrderFlow to look for a potential long if we see strength or a major reclaim.

$BTC OrderFlow 📊 Shorts keep showing their hand, only to get absorbed, trapped, and forced to cover again and again. Sellers are active, but they’re not in control. Every push lower gets absorbed, as they keep selling into the lows. The bounces we’re seeing are then driven by short covering - not buyers stepping in with real intent! So what now? Nothing! Either sellers get follow through and make new lows stick, or buyers need to step in with actual intent and prove they can take control.

$BTC 📈 Stupid PA continues... price wandering around like me after 10 beers looking for the kebab shop. Hard to find a good reason for this latest move back above mrVAH, after price lost key support at mrVAH earlier today. No real intent from perps yet. No real spot participation yet. But also no defense from passive sellers, with price simply walking through resistance as shorts keep covering. Nothing to do here. Time to call it a day.

$BTC 📈 A key "zone of interest" is coming into play 👀 Missed the short near the highs? This area could be worth watching... 👉 ~85K USD lines up with the mini-range VAH, the high-anchored VWAP, and a clear support/resistance zone. Price also failed to hold above value on friday, leaving lot's late longs trapped. As always, wait for a clean test of the zone and OrderFlow confirmation: buying pressure with intent pushing into the level but getting no result/getting absorbed by passive sellers (trapped buyers). Be especially cautious with a weekend move!

$BTC 📈 Runner is still running... I’m holding the open size as a swing targeting a pot. sweep of those structurally poor lows we discussed previously (lot's of untested liquidity building below). What started as an intraday trade given a fakeout of the daily session VAH (80% closed at target) is now transitioning into a swing. Full reasoning, setup breakdown, and OrderFlow were covered in advance and live here and in the open Discord for educational purposes. If we sweep those lows, I would shift my focus to the prior Fair Value around 81K - that becomes a prime zone where I'll be watching for new swing long setups (should OrderFlow confirm the idea). Have a fantastic weekend! Time to secure your positions, rest up and enjoy the time off. 🧡

$BTC 📈 Full TP ✅ Setup: failed breakout above daily session VAH with trapped longs into NY-Open to target dPOC and dVAL. ~20% remain open as a runner, as price is now accepting below dVAL and we are trading at overall range extremes.

$BTC 📈 That is exactly what we just talked about... 👀 "Otherwise failed breakout from value can trap traders and set up a move back toward dPOC and opposite side of the daily range." We saw two attempts to break above session value, both with intent: new longs were opening into the move. Both attempts failed, leaving those buyers trapped near the highs. That failure confirmed an entry targeting dPOC, with dVAL as a potential next target, as explained in the previous post. I'm in a fully secured short (~40% closed, SL at entry) from the failed dVAH breakout attempt. Setup discussed here and executed live in the open Discord.

$BTC 📈 Price is trading within daily value. Here is what we need to watch for next... Price tested dVAL and we saw shorts stepping in, spot selling into the level, yet price was not able to auction lower as sellers were absorbed and trapped. We’re back at dPOC now. Nothing to do here - fair value. Wait for a test of a value extreme, then watch OrderFlow closely and see how price responds. To trade a break of value and join momentum, I need to see intent: a clean break above or below with OI increasing and spot confirming, followed by a retest and rejection. Otherwise failed breakout from value can trap traders and set up a move back toward dPOC and opposite side of the daily range. Yes... I can see spot trending lower... but this is having zero effect against the little perp buying for now. If we get a fakeout above daily range high, with spot making new lows, and OrderFlow confirming trapped longs into the failed breakout attempt, then I'm very interested in the short...

GM ☕️ Starting the day with small profits on $BTC 🌤️ Here is how yesterday’s OrderFlow setup unfolded: Trapped Sellers: Shorts kept opening into range VAL and session VWAP, but price gave zero downward response. Break of Value: We saw a deliberate push above range VAH backed by fresh longs + spot demand, proving it wasn't just a simple short squeeze at this point. Absorption on Retest: On the mrVAH retest, perp orderbook data showed absorption of new shorts while spot buyers held the floor, not participating on the sell-side. At the same time we knew there was still lots of trapped short exposure from NY-Session, so continuation higher was not that unlikely. We remained extremely patient through the range chop until price showed real acceptance outside of value. Only then did I take a first conservative long attempt, targeting a sweep of the news candle high into the 0.66 Fib. As always, I shared the live trade setup and logic in our open Discord in real time. My goal is to show live execution and context so you can actually build execution skills rather than just backtest hindsight charts.

Those $BTC short sellers we talked about earlier watching their portfolio implode yet again 💀 You sold into NY-Open? I guess it’s a good time to learn more about OrderFlow… All I can say is.. something is coming! And it will be all about OrderFlow education 🔥 Stay tuned!

$BTC OrderFlow 📊 What are these guys on? 💀 Shorts front-run the NY open, get absorbed, and surprise... a green opening candle above VWAP trapps them. Only a few shorts got flushed, so the rest apparently looked at that and thought: “Needs more shorts.” Straight into VWAP, with barely anything to show for it! Let’s see how this ends. Watching this play out is like stepping on LEGO barefoot👀

$BTC 📈 Failed breakout at the weekly VWAP. Poor highs were swept with real spot buying and new longs opening, but the move stalled and trapped late longs at the top. The failure back below weekly VWAP offered a solid intraday short down toward the current lows / Range High level, as discussed in the previous post (I did not take the position given the 30min close above wVWAP). Now playing patient: - Looking for a deviation below the current lows / Range High level. - Expecting shorts to chase into support, play the breakdown. - Swift reclaim back above the Range High = trigger to go long. - Targets: current highs ~$87k$ (+ prPOC, prVAH). - Invalidation: fresh low we put in. Awaiting OrderFlow confirmation at the key level before any execution.