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$GOOG very tight trading ranges for the last 2 weeks now.. Daily chart looks ready for possible explosive move. Right above the 200d and all the moving averages just converging.
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Markets are pricing Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech tomorrow as neutral to mildly dovish if he sticks to his usual playbook. $SPY
He’s expected to keep it high-level, task forces, productivity, the big structural questions rather than give a clear reaction function or signal imminent hikes.
That vagueness is what traders read as the softer path; a pure structural speech could push long yields higher and get labeled dovish.
He’s still firm on the 2% target and won’t promise cuts, but the consensus is he won’t commit to tightening either. Risk is that if he stays too vague, the bond market treats it as a dovish miss and sells off. $QQQ
As usual like Powell, he will be walking on a tightrope.